Experience is a Great Teacher

How are you doing today? I hope that you’re ignoring the gyrations of the stock market and going about your business of self-isolating, washing your hands, and self-distancing. They might not be the most exciting activities, but they will flatten the curve and help to avoid overburdening our hospitals.

As I approach my golden years, I’ve come to accept the maxim that experience is a great teacher. Additionally, I’ve also realized that I can learn from other people’s experience as well as my own. I need not make every single mistake myself. Watching others’ mistakes can be just as instructional.

Today, I’d like to share one of my investing mistakes so that you don’t have to make it yourself.

Back in 2008, the stock market tanked. I remember hearing about the demise of Bear Stearns, and I was shocked. I don’t recall why it was so upsetting since I wasn’t a hedge fund manager at the time, nor was I an economist or any other kind of expert. All I know was that Bear Stearns was a major investing bank and that it’s demise meant that something very bad was happening in the stock market.

So what did I do? I made the second worst mistake available to me. I stopped investing while the stock market plunged.

I’ve made no secret of the fact that I’m a buy-and-hold investor. My investment plan is simple. First, save money from each paycheque. Second, transfer those savings to my investment account. Third, buy units in my chosen exchange-traded funds. Fourth, rely on the dividend re-investment plan to invest the dividends. Fifth, go back to the first step.

I’ve designed the plan to take advantage of dollar-cost averaging. Each month, I invest in my ETFs regardless of the unit price. I completely avoid trying to time the market. “Is this a good time to buy?” is a question that I never ask myself. When I have the money, I buy into my ETF – easy peasy lemon squeasy. This method of investing is know as dollar-cost averaging. I first learned about it in The Wealthy Barber, a great book authored by David Chilton.

Back in 2008, I was not as smart as I am now. Twelve years ago, I freaked out and I STOPPED INVESTING!!!

This was a huge mistake! I should have continued to dollar-cost average into the market during the six months between the demise of Bear Sterns and the recovery which started in March of 2009. I would have been buying during the downturn.

Buying during the downturn is a fancy way of saying that I would have been buying when the stock market was on sale.

It’s good to buy things when they’re on sale. If you want a new pair of shoes, aren’t you happier making the purchase when they’re priced at 35% off? I have a feeling that if you had a choice of buying the identical pair of shoes for $100 or for $65, you’d opt to buy them for $65.

The stock market is no different. On February 22, 2020, the value of the stock market plunged. In other words, it went on sale. The Talking Heads of the media could barely keep from peeing their pants with glee! They had so much to talk about, so much fear to stoke in their viewers and readers. Buy this! Don’t buy that! It’ll be a V-shaped recovery! No recovery for 2 years! Avoid cucumbers!

Okay … maybe they didn’t say anything about cucumbers. But the rest of the statements aren’t too far from the truth.

Once again, experience is a great teacher. I’d already made the mistake of listening to the Talking Heads in 2008-2009. As a result, I did not take advantage of the cheaper prices on the stock market that were available at the time. As the recovery wore on, the stock prices didn’t fall but I did start contributing to my portfolio again. However, I could not overcome the error of not buying stocks when they were super-cheap. My failure to make the right choice 12 years ago means I’ll be working a little bit longer than I’d projected.

I see no sense in making the same mistake this time. So while I’m self-isolating, while I’m washing my hands, while I’m social distancing, I am also continuing to invest in my chosen ETFs. Yes, you read that right. I’m still investing even through this period of excess volatility.

Did the value of my portfolio plunge in February of 2020? You bet your sweet ass it did! And did the value continue to drop throughout March as the stock market roiled due to the COVID19? Again, that’s a big 10-4!

It’s been just 5 weeks since the plunge. My portfolio is recovering, just like the stock market is.

The Talking Heads won’t ever encourage others to follow my simple plan. Despite its effectiveness, my way of doing things is boring and boring isn’t good for ratings.

You see, the stock market is supposed to go up and down. It always has. It always will. Never in its history has the stock market only ever gone up, just like it has never only ever gone down. If you’re going to invest, then do so consistently and automatically. Do your research. Find a broad-based equity exchange-traded fund (or mutual fund if you insist on paying higher management expense ratios). Invest on a regular basis. Ignore the Talking Heads. They can’t tell the future any better than you can.

And in case you were wondering, the biggest mistake you can make right now is to sell your stock market portfolio. For the love all that you deem holy, do not sell! Right now, the prices are low and that’s why you should be buying them.

Like I’ve said, experience is a great teacher. You can learn from mine instead of making the mistakes yourself. Don’t stop investing right now. Stick to your investing schedule and build your portfolio while the stock market is on sale. The second biggest mistake you can make is to halt your investment contributions.

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Weekly Tip: Pay cash for your next car by making a monthly car payment to yourself for as long as possible before you head to the dealership. The payments to yourself will be the down payment, if you’re forced to finance your vehicle. Ideally, you’ll stay out of debt completely because your accumulated savings will be sufficient just pay for your next vehicle with cash.