Not all advice is for all people

As I’ve gotten older, I’ve had to realize that some of the nuggets of wisdom that I hold dear won’t work for everyone. Even my cherished belief that everyone should live below their means is flawed. It is literally impossible to follow the LBYM edict if you most basic needs – food & shelter – outstrip your take-home income. Advising everyone to “live below your means!” is tone-deaf to the reality that not everyone has sufficient means to survive.

Another bit of wisdom that I’ve always questioned comes from the blogger behind GreaterFool. Prior to the pandemic, this blogger encouraged everyone to sell their home, invest the proceeds in the market, and live off the dividends and capital gains. Quite wisely, he took the position that cash flow is more important than net worth. Beneficiaries of outsized tax-free capital gains on their home would be smart to sell it and invest the proceeds in a diversified stock-and-bond portfolio. In turn, the portfolio would churn off enough money to pay rent to a landlord somewhere.

The blogger explained how landlords were effectively subsidizing their tenants. In his view, home prices were going to drop drastically so homeowners would be better off selling their home at high price points and becoming tenants. Before the pandemic, market rental rates were less than the landlord’s expenses to own and operate rental units. The landlord couldn’t increase the rent too much or the tenant would walk away and find somewhere else to live. At the higher end of the rental market, this was a serious concern.

So if a homeowner could sell their home, and their proceeds could cover the rent of a comparable rental property, then it would make sense to sell. The homeowner-turned-renter would realize the tax-free capital gains of their home and move into a landlord’s property. According to the blogger, their invested proceeds would generate enough dividends and capital gains to cover the cost of market rent. The landlord would cover the difference between the rent received and the costs of owning the unit. The homeowner-turned-renter could then cover the rest of their expenses with income from their employment.

The first time I heard this financial advice, I was really impressed. It sounded like a very good thing, but then I started asking questions:

  • what if there was a dividend cut or the capital gains dropped?
  • what if rents went up faster than growth on the invested portfolio?
  • what if the portfolio was compromised somehow?
  • what if the portfolio’s generated returns weren’t enough to rent in the first place?

These are the questions that would keep me from sleeping well at night. Never worrying about how I’m going to pay for my shelter is one of the very best benefits of having a mortgage-free home. Others may feel differently.

I’ve no doubt that the blogger’s proposed financial path would work for some people. After much careful reflection, I realized that I wasn’t one of them.

This advice never sat well with me, even though I own a mortgage-free home. Yes, selling my own home would give me a six-figure sum to invest. In my case, the resulting dividends and capital gains wouldn’t be enough to cover rent for a comparable property in my city. I would have to keep working way beyond my intended retirement date. It would be years and years and years before my portfolio would be generating enough money to cover all of my expenses.

Once again, I’d be sharing walls with strangers and living without those little extras a house brings to one’s life: added privacy, extra room, green space. Undoubtedly, my rent would increase every year and I’d be without any guarantee that my investments would churn out enough money to cover those rising costs. Finally, if I was living off my dividends and capital gains, then I wouldn’t be able to have them automatically re-invested. In short, I’d lose the benefit of compound growth.

Nope. This blogger’s advice was not for me. There were too many drawbacks and too few benefits given my preferences and how I want to live my life.

That said, I could certainly see this advice working for people whose homes were worth over $3,000,000. At a conservative 5% return, there would be $150,000 of favourably-taxed income to spend every year. With that many millions to invest, there might even be enough money to cover inflationary pressures and rising rents.

In my humble opinion, an investment portfolio of less than $3,000,000 wouldn’t work for me. That’s not to say it wouldn’t work for someone else. Again, not all advice is for all people. In my head, going into my dotage while still paying rent to a landlord is rarely a wise course of action. Rents tend to go up. Without the benefit of compound growth over the long term, my dividends and capital gains would eventually become insufficient to cover rising rental rates.

For the record, my house is not worth an amount anywhere close to seven-figures. Investing its proceeds might generate $1000 per month. In my city, that’s currently not enough for the average 2-bedroom apartment. Why would I move from a comfortable-for-me-sized house to an apartment with half as much space, no yard, and less privacy?

With my own paid-off house, I benefit from compound growth of my dividends and capital gains while I’m still working. Yes – I still pay property taxes, insurance and repairs for my home. However, those aggregate costs are far less than what I would pay in rent to a landlord, year-in-year-out. When I eventually stop working, I don’t have to worry about rental increases because I own my home.

The only benefit I see to the blogger’s proposed course of action is immediate lump-sum investing. Someone following his advice would be able to invest a big chunk of money today and benefit from long-term growth. The stock-and-bond portfolio would grow over time and possibly make the homeowner-turned-renter wealthier that someone like me. I rely on consistent bi-weekly contributions from my paycheque to dollar-cost my way into the market. In short, my chosen path was to pay off my mortgage in under 5 years then build an equity-based, buy-and-hold investment portfolio. I’m making contributions but I’m not going to receive the benefits that come from investing a huge lump-sum immediately. This is because it’s always better to invest as much as you can, as soon as you.

The blogger in question is writing for a wealthier audience. I’ll still visit his blog to learn things and to get a perspective on how some of the Wealthy handle their money. I’m seasoned enough to know that I won’t agree with everything this blogger writes. Those best-served by his views are those who have a considerably higher level of wealth than I do.

As you continue to learn about personal finance, you’ll come across many suggestions about what to do with your money. Think carefully! Every money mistake can be undone, given enough time. Yet, wouldn’t it be nice to avoid those mistakes in the first place? Just because something is a good idea or it’s works fabulously for someone else doesn’t mean that it’s the right move for you. It never hurts to remind yourself that not all advice is for all people.

Depending on the Kindness of Strangers is Risky

Have you seen the article about the 82-year old Walmart employee who received over $100,000 from strangers so that he could retire?

This story makes me very, very sad.

I’m not sad because people reached out to help this senior citizen , nor am I sad that he retired. No, I feel despondent and a little discouraged because he’s also in a system where working to death is the only option for so many. Had he not been “lucky” enough to be cashiering for a TikTok influencer, then it’s doubtful he would’ve benefitted from the kindness of strangers. He would still be working, just like countless other elderly people whose personal stories go untold online.

Truth be told, I’m not convinced that he was working because that’s what he wanted to be doing at age 82. If that had been the case, then I doubt that he would’ve retired upon receiving the six-figure cheque. He would’ve banked the money and gone back to work – just like all those other people who work because they love their jobs! He wasn’t the CEO of a successful company that he had built from scratch. There was nothing in the story to suggest that working as a cashier fulfilled his most cherished dreams and desires. None of the details of this story indicate that his employment brought him a sense of fulfillment or a belief that he was pursuing his life’s purpose.

Instead, the story was about a senior citizen who was toiling away with no end in sight. I can only assume that he earned just enough to not starve to death but nowhere near enough to ever stop working.

Think about your own circumstances. When will work become optional for you? Do you want to be forced by your personal finances to work at age 82? Or would you prefer that working at that age be a choice based on your passion for what you do?

If it’s the latter, then make sure that you’re building your financial cushion today. The sooner you start, the better. Invested money needs time in the stock market to grow. I’m not in any way suggesting that you sacrifice every single joy that you have in order to save for the future. That’s an awful way to live!

Sixty of seventy years ago, the internet didn’t exist. I cannot blame that 82-year old Walmart employee for not knowing about mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, and other investment products. The information wasn’t as readily available at one fingertips, not like it is today. The search engines, online classes, blogs, robo-advisors, self-directed brokerages, and podcasts from which to learn were not there for him until well into his late 50s and 60s.

The same isn’t true for you. If you can find this blog, then you can find anything you need to know about investing. The information is there. You need only go and find it. Do yourself a huge favour! Make the effort to maximize the odds that working in your dotage is a choice and not a requirement.

Invest some of your disposable income for long-term growth. Spend the rest of your money however you want. Just make sure that you never touch your long-term-growth money. A slice of every paycheque should be invested every time you’re paid. The capital gains and dividends should be automatically re-invested. It won’t happen overnight, and it will likely take years, but you’ll eventually have a stream of cashflow from your investments that can be used to replace your paycheque. Once that happens, then you will truly be working because you want to and not because you have to.

Take steps today so you’re not in the same position as this 82-year old cashier. Depending on the kindness of strangers to fund your retirement is risky. While this man was “fortunate” enough to be helped by a group of online strangers, there are countless others who need the same help but will not get it. This is how our system is designed. There is no onus on anyone to give you the retirement that you prefer. Our legislation provides you a financial floor. You can rest assured that it will not be enough for you to live the way you want in your dotage. Thankfully, there are steps that you can take to minimize the odds of an impoverished old age. It’s up to you whether to follow them.

My 5 Most Successful Steps to Retiring As I Wish

Ever since I started working, I’ve been thinking about the day that I can stop – for good. Thankfully, I’ve had very good jobs and worked with amazing people. My work has been challenging and my tasks have been interesting. All that said, work is not my passion in life. I’m not one of those people who bounds out of bed every morning because I’m excited to get to the office. Nope. I’m willing to admit that I’m happier with life when I’m not at work. Whether it’s two weeks away on my annual vacation, two days away on a weekend, or a day off during the week for whatever reason. I’m always happier with my life when I’m not at work.

Thankfully, I learned this truth about myself when I was quite young. As a result, I started my retirement planning when I was 21 years old. Here are the most successful steps that I’ve taken over the years to maximize the odds that I can retire as I wish.

Contributing the Maximum to my RRSP

In hindsight, maybe it wasn’t the best decision to start investing in my Registered Retirement Savings Plan at age 21. I still remember my parents’ accountant telling me that taking the tax deduction while I was a student wasn’t the best idea. He didn’t have any qualms with me contributing to my RRSP but he thought I should wait to claim the deduction in the future when I’d graduated and was working in my chosen profession.

Looking back, I can see that his advice was very good. Admittedly, I didn’t really understand it. My lifelong love of learning about all things personal finance was nascent so I didn’t appreciate the wisdom of his words. At 21, I happily claimed the deduction and spent it on some item whose memory thereof has been lost to the mists of time.

Stupid decision or not, the RRSP-habit was formed. I have contributed the maximum allowable amount to my RRSP every single year since age 21. The money first went into GICs, then into mutual funds, and finally it is now all invested in exchange traded funds. As I learned better, I did better. Over the years, my MERs have dropped and my returns have skyrocketed.

Contributing the Maximum to my TFSA

In 2009, the federal government introduced the Tax Free Savings Account. I can still recall sitting at my computer desk and hearing the words come out of the Minister of Finance’s mouth as I listened to the recap of the federal budget. My head whipped around and I immediately started paying attention. What had he just said? There was going to be a new way for me to save money without paying taxes? Tell me more!

My wise younger sibling then said the following to me:

“Blue Lobster, for you, the TFSA is just another retirement savings vehicle.”

Lightbulb on!

Ever since it’s been available, I have been making the maximum contributions to my TFSA. These contributions have never been sullied by interest rates incapable of matching inflation, as are offered by GICs, nor have they been brutalized by the higher-than-necessary MERs of mutual funds. Nope. I immediately put my TFSA money to work in dividend-paying ETFs.

After another discussion with my accountant, I decided that my TFSA could be used to create a tax-free stream of income in retirement. If I invested in dividend-paying ETFs, then I could withdraw the monthly dividends from my TFSA in retirement. It would be tax-free cash flow. Cha-ching! There was also the tiny little benefit that money from my TFSA wouldn’t impinge my ability to get OAS payments.

Was this the smartest use of my investment? Probably not. I now listen to the wisdom of Bridget Casey of Money After Graduation, and she’s convinced me that I should’ve gone for growth by investing in different equity ETFs. She’s probably right. There was a bull run in the stock market from 2009 to 2020. My TFSA would be bigger had I made different investment choices.

Contributing a Good-Sized Chunk of my Paycheque to my Brokerage Account

This is where the rubber really hits the road. Once I’d paid off my mortgage, I had a good bit of money remaining in my bank account every two weeks. (For the record, I’m a big believer in accelerated bi-weekly mortgage payments.)

Instead of spending that money on this-and-that, I put it to work in my non-registered investment account at my brokerage. My former mortgage payments went straight into ETFs. As with my RRSP & TFSA investments, I put everything on the dividend re-investment plan. When I got raises, I diverted some of the newly-earned money to my investment portfolio and some of it went to increasing my standard of living. As time passed, I was able to get to the point where I’m investing 1/3 of my net pay into my brokerage account and living on the rest.

Staying Away from Debt

In today’s world, it is very hard to avoid all debt. I understand that. I don’t like it, but I understand it.

For my part, I’ve had student loans, vehicle loans and a mortgage. Thankfully, I’ve never had revolving credit card debt. In the interests of transparency, I’ll admit that I do use my credit card but I pay the balance in full every single month.

However, I don’t have debt. The last time I bought a vehicle was in 2008. I used my line of credit and I did everything possible to pay off that LOC-debt within 6 months. It sucked but I didn’t care. I knew that having a car loan for 5 years would’ve sucked too. In my mind, 6 months of short-term sacrifice was well-worth the extra 4.5 years of car-loan freedom. And, yes – my former car loan payments were re-directed to my investments once that debt was gone.

My house has been paid off for 15+ years. While the property taxes, utilities and insurance aren’t cheap, my housing costs are far less than they’d be if I still had a mortgage to pay on top of everything else.

Life without debt is generally better. Instead of money going to your creditors, it can be re-directed to paying for your life’s dreams. It’s best avoided altogether. And if you can’t avoid debt, then minimize it to the greatest extent possible. While it’s in your life, do whatever you can to get rid of it as soon as possible.

Playing the Lottery

Bet you weren’t expecting that one, were you?

It’s true. I play the lottery every week – to the tune of about $20/wk. Even though it hasn’t yet paid off, I consider this one of my most successful steps.

I’ve heard that the lottery is a tax on the stupid, and that those who can’t do math are the ones who play the lottery. I don’t care. The fact of the matter is that I can’t win if I don’t play. Someone has to win and it might as well be me.

Let’s face facts. I’m contributing the max to my RRSP and my TFSA. One third of my paycheque is going into my investment portfolio. I don’t have any debt. Spending $1040 per year on lottery tickets is not going to make or break me. My retirement plans are still on track. If I win the lottery, they’ll just get a fantastically, awesome boost and I can retirement today instead of tomorrow.

Playing the lottery is my indulgence and I’m not giving it up. Other people will spend their disposable income as they wish. I will too. No judgment.

Final Thoughts on Why I Save So Much

I’ve been working in my current position for a long time now. Believe me when I say that my feelings towards working haven’t changed. I’m still happier when I’m not at the office. And I say this despite the fact that I have mentally challenging work. I’m rarely ever bored by my work. My colleagues are truly wonderful people who carry their weight and are always there for me when I need guidance, advice, or mentorship. My bosses are all fairly good people. And while I would never turn my nose up at a raise, the truth is that my compensation allows me to live the life I want. Even my benefits are not too shabby. All in all, I have a working situation that many others can only dream of yet I’m still far happier when I’m at home or with family or on vacation.

I have no illusions that my feelings are unique or that others prefer working to spending time doing what they love with those whom they love. The difference between me and them is that I’ve created a financial foundation for myself where work is becoming optional. This blog post is about the most successful steps I’ve relied on during my working life. Thanks to them, I’ve put myself in a position where I don’t have to allow my paycheque to be the overriding factor in decisions about my life. If my paycheque were to disappear, I wouldn’t have to find another one immediately… or at all. I have the comfort of knowing that my investments – and hopefully a newspaper-worthy lottery win! – will replace my paycheque when I’m ready to part ways with my employer.

Sequence of Return Risk

There’s a lot of jargon in the world of personal finance. The more terms you know, the more comfortable you’ll be when it comes to making decisions about your money. Today’s post is meant to be a short and sweet tutorial about the basics of Sequence of Return Risk.

A bear market is one where overall stock market returns are falling.

A bull market is one where overall stock market returns are rising.

This distinction is very important.

Retiring into a Bear Market

Let’s say you retire with $1,000,000. You plan to live on $40,000. So long as your portfolio is kicking off atleast 4%, then you’re golden for as long as you live. Hooray!

You retire. You smash your alarm clock. You wake up when you want with a smile on your face. The only fly in this ointment is that you’ve retired at the start of a bear market. The value of your portfolio drops 15%, which means your portfolio is now worth $850,000 (= $1,000,000 x [1-0.15]).

Your portfolio is still kicking off a return of 4%, but you’re not getting $40,000 per year anymore. With a portfolio of $850,000, you’re only getting $34,000 (=$850,000 x 4%). Where will the other $6,000 come from? Remember, you need $40,000 to fund each year of your retirement.

You’ll have to withdraw the extra $6K from your portfolio balance of $850,000, leaving you with $844,000 (= $850,000 – $6,000). That’s still a decent chunk of change, but eating into the principal had not been part of your retirement plan…

Year 2 of retirement isn’t exactly great either. The bear market is easing, but it’s still a factor. The value of your portfolio drops another 10%. (Yes, it’s possible for the stock market to drop two years in a row.) That $844,000 that you had is now down to $759,600 (= $844,00 x [1-0.10]). Yikes! That’s $240,400 less than what you started with when you first retired.

Yet you still need $40,000 per year to live on, and your portfolio is still kicking off 4%. Sadly, 4% of $759,600 is $30,384… which is $9,616 (= $40,000 – $30,384) short of your needed $40K. So where will that $9,616 come from? You’ll have to take it from your $759,600….dropping your portfolio balance back down to $749,984 (=$759,000 – $9,616). Not good!

Year 3 of retirement welcomes the return of a bull market, and the stock market goes up 7%. Hooray! Your $749,984 is now worth $802,483 (=$749,984 x 1.07). That’s still not enough to kick off $40,000. In fact, your portfolio will only earn you $32,099 (=$802,483 x 4%), which means taking a further $7,901 (= $40,000 – $32,099) from your portfolio.

Do you see the problem?

When you retire into a bear market, your retirement portfolio might not be sufficiently large to cover your anticipated expenses. You may be forced to withdraw money to cover your living expenses when the value of your portfolio has dropped!!! This is a very bad thing because it means that your money won’t be invested when the stock market invariably starts increasing again.

Retiring into a Bull Market

However, if you retire into a bull market, then things are considerably better. Starting with the same assumptions of a $1,000,000 portfolio, a 4% return, and annual expenses of $40K in retirement, check out what happens if the stock market goes up 7% in the first year.

Your portfolio is up to $1,070,000 (=$1,000,000 x 1.07). At 4%, that means your portfolio is kicking off $42,800 (=$1,070,000 x 4%). Yet, you don’t need more than $40,000, so you leave the $2800 invested. Now your porfolio is worth $1,072,800 (=$1,070,000 + $2,800).

In year 2, the market goes up another 15%. Your portfolio goes up to $1,233,720 (=$1,070,800 x 1.15). At 4% return, you’re receiving $49,349 (=$1,233,720 x 4%). Again, you take out the $40K that you need and you let the $9,349 continue to stay invested. Now, your portfolio is worth $1,243,069 (=$1,233,720 + $9,349).

Year 3 is another positive year, though not as positive as year 2. The stock market only produces an average return of 5%, generating $62,153 (= $1,243,069 x 1.05) for you. You don’t change your spending, $40K goes into your spending account and the remaining $22,153 stays invested. Now your portfolio is worth $1,265,222 (= $1,243,069 + $22,153).

See the difference? Retiring into a bull market means your portfolio will continue to grow, so long as you don’t spend every penny of your returns.

Protecting yourself from the sequence of return risk

Like I said at the start, this is just a short tutorial on the sequence of return risk. Other persons far wiser than I have spent way more time coming up with great strategies. One of the books that I would strongly suggest you read for a more in-depth analysis on this topic is Quit Like A Millionaire by Kristi Shen & Bryce Leung. Their book offers a brilliant strategy for avoiding the sequence of return risk – it’s called the Yield Shield and it’s awesome. Another great source of information about how to avoid sequence of return risk is this article from The Retirement Manifesto.

And if you really want to sink your teeth into this topic, check out Big Ern’s Safe Withdrawal Rate series at Early Retirement Now.

If you’re not able to avail yourself of the Yield Shield, then another way to make up for the shortfall between when you need and what your smaller portfolio can provide is to get a job. I’m not suggesting a return to full-time work, but maybe you’ll have to find a part-time job that generates $10,000 per year. A part-time income of $10,000 per year would definitely cover the shortfall in year 1, which means leaving your money invested so that it can grow when the stock market returns start becoming positive again.

And if you’re deadset against part-time work, then there’s always the option of cutting your expenses to live on whatever your portfolio generates. This isn’t the preferred option for a few reasons. First, it’s never fun to cut out the little extras that make life a bit more pleasant. Secondly, there’s only so much you can cut. Thirdly, there’s no room for surprise expenses like a new furnace in the dead of winter. While it’s not ideal, working a few hours a week might be a better financial alternative for you than cutting out expenses that make the non-working hours more comfortable.

So that’s my primer on the sequence of return risk. Retiring into a bear market is fraught with peril, but there are ways to minimize its negative impact on the sustainability your long-term retirement money. It’s best to retire into a bull market. Should you not be one of the people with an accurate crystal ball able to tell you what the future will bring, then I suggest that you read and learn more about how to ensure that your retirement portfolio lasts for as long as you do.

My Criticisms of the Baby Steps

Based on my understanding of them, the Baby Steps have two main problems. One, the Baby Steps encourage people to work longer than they might otherwise wish. Two, people will pay higher than necessary management expense ratios (MERs).

One of the more controversial figures in the personal finance section of the Internet is Dave Ramsey. Among other things, he is famous for encouraging people to follow his Baby Steps.

When I was first starting down my own money journey, I happily devoured The Total Money Makeover. Even today, I still think that the Baby Steps are a great path for newbies who are looking for a way to get out of debt and to start building wealth. When I had student loans and car debt, I followed the Baby Steps and paid those off. Once debt-free, it was very nice to have some breathing room in my budget.

However, when I got to the step about investing 15%, I had to pause a little bit.

Criticism #1 – Working Longer than Necessary

My first concern with the Baby Steps is that they implicitly encourage people to spend 85% of their income once all non-mortgage debt has been repaid.

Allow me to exceptionally clear. THERE IS NOTHING WRONG WITH SAVING 15% OF YOUR INCOME! When there is a choice between saving nothing and saving something, always choose to save something. Then invest that money for long-term growth and go about the business of living.

However, I was fortunate enough to have learned about early retirement. I wanted to retire as soon as possible. Investing the recommended amount of 15% of my paycheque wasn’t going to do it for me. In short, investing only 15% of my income while spending the rest wouldn’t allow me to fulfill my goal of early retirement. I was not interested in working 30+ years if there was a viable option for me to still have a financially solid retirement while working for less than 3 decades!

As a result of my independent self-study, I had learned from other sources that a higher savings-and-investing rate meant a quicker path to financial independence. I’m certain that the Baby Steps will help most people get to a comfortable retirement at a traditional retirement age. And if the Baby Steps help someone to start their 15% investment plan in their 20s, I’m sure that they’ll have millions of dollars after 30+ years of work.

My life’s dreams didn’t involve working for 30+ years. My career has a lot of perks, but jumping out of bed each morning in gleeful anticipation of another day at the office is not one of them.

Fortunately for me, I had the ability to save more than 15% of my income once all my non-mortgage debt was eliminated. At this point, I seriously deviated from Dave Ramsey’s plan. Firstly, I paid off my mortgage in my mid-thirties. Then I took my former bi-weekly mortgage payment and started investing it. To be clear, that former mortgage payment was more than 15% of my take-home pay. I first maxed out my RRSP, then I maxed out my TFSA contribution room. Once that was done, I started contributing to my non-registered investment accounts. Over the years, I’ve benefitted from raises. Generally speaking, two-thirds of each raise went to my investments and the remaining third went to improving my present-day life by spending on those little luxuries that make me happy.

I am not encouraging anyone to deviate from the Baby Steps if they want to work for as long as possible. There are people in this world who love their jobs! Saving and investing only 15% of income works beautifully for these people. They get to spend their money today, while enjoying their jobs, and will still retire at traditional retirement age with a nice, fat cash cushion. If this is you, then I congratulate you on having found a way to make money doing something you love.

It just seems to me that the Baby Steps should say “invest 15% or more of your household income in retirement.” Adding those two little words would plant the seed that retirement can come sooner if you so wish. I’ve met more than a few people who’ve expressed the desire to quit working, but cannot yet do so because they need the paycheque. For these folks, saving the recommended 15% doesn’t get them closer to their goal of retiring sooner rather than later.

Criticism #2 – Paying Higher-than-Necessary MERs

My second issue with the Baby Steps is related to Dave Ramsey’s love of mutual funds. I’ve listened to him on YouTube where he consistently exhorts his listeners to invest in mutual funds.

In the interests of transparency, I admit that there was a time when I invested in mutual funds. I was younger and less knowledgeable about the costs of equity products. It’s been years since I divested myself of those products and moved into exchange traded funds with VanguardCanada and iShares. There was one main reason that I exited from mutual funds and went into exchange traded funds.

Mutual funds are consistently more expensive than exchange traded funds and index funds. This is because mutual funds charge higher MERs than their ETF/index fund equivalent. Think of the MER as the cost of the product. The returns on my mutual funds were not twice as good as the returns on my ETFs, even though the MER might be twice as high (or many multiples higher!) on a mutual fund than on an ETF. If the mutual funds’ performance had justified the higher price, then I would have continued paying a higher price. When I realized I could get the same performance for a lower price, I hastily moved out of mutual funds and put my money to work in ETFs. I’ve never regretted my choice.

So when I listen to Dave Ramsey talk about how wonderful mutual funds are, I have to ask myself why wouldn’t he tell his listeners to invest in equivalent yet cheaper ETFs? The same performance for a lower price seems to be a good thing for the people following his advice.

I have never heard a persuasive explanation for why people should pay higher MERs when an equivalent and cheaper product readily available.

Take a look at this MER calculator. It demonstrates that higher MERs result in smaller portfolios over any given period of time, all else being equal. The longer you’re investing your money, the bigger the MER-bite. Whenever possible, invest in an ETF or an index fund instead of a mutual fund. You should not be paying an MER higher than 0.3%.

So that’s it in a nutshell. Though they are a great starting point, I hope that I have articulated my two biggest problems with the Baby Steps. I sincerely hope that this blog post has given you more information about how to influence how much longer you’ll have to work. The secret is to invest more today so you don’t have to work as long tomorrow. Whenever you do invest, pick exchange traded funds instead of mutual funds to keep costs down and to maximize the amount of money working on your behalf. Lower MERs ensure that a higher percentage of every invested dollar works for you as you pursue your investment goals.

At the end of the day, the choice of how much and where to invest is yours. If you want to work for as long possible, while paying more in investment costs, then follow Dave Ramsey’s plan to the letter. If you’d like to have the option of attaining financial independence as soon as you can,then invest more than 15% of your next income and choose ETFs over mutual funds.

Housing Prices & Interest Rates

When I was a kid, one of the things I learned from my mother was that interest rates are inversely correlated to housing prices. If interest rates are going down, then housing prices are going up.

Over the last 12 months, I’ve seen this lesson play out in real life. By the time this blog post goes live, we will have passed the one-year anniversary of the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet, there are cities in this country where the housing market is red-hot. People are tripping over themselves to buy homes and they’re “winning” bidding wars to do so.

Five-year mortgage rates in my corner of the world had been on offer for as low as 1.84% up until just recently. At the time of writing this article, they’re slowly creeping up but a few can still be found at just around 2%. The Talking Heads in the media are predicting that 5-year rates will increase steadily over the next year. They say that this will be due to the economy fully re-opening as everyone gets their vaccine.

Who am I to argue with the Talking Heads?

The corollary to my mother’s great insight is that house prices drop as interest rates rise. This is due to the fact that fewer people can afford house payments when the cost of borrowing increases. Fewer people buying is a fancy way of saying lower demand. Less demand for something forces sellers to drop prices in order to sell their goods. In the housing market, rising interest rates are very strongly linked to decreasing housing prices.

For the past 10 years or so, the interest rates for mortgages have been less than 4%. I can tell you that my very first mortgage – taken out nearly 20 years ago – was for 6.5%. That seems astronomically high by today’s standards! When I was teenager and working part time as a grocery store cashier, I worked with folks who were thrilled to get a mortgage at 8%. The super-low mortgage rates of the past decade have been normalized, and I worry that people forget that rates can also move in the other direction.

Two Minds

I’m of two minds when it comes to housing. Buying a house was a very smart move for me. I was fortunate enough to buy what I needed at a price that was less than 3 times my gross income. The mortgage payments were less than 30% of my take-home pay. I could afford the repairs and maintenance that come with a house. Taxes and insurance weren’t an onerous burden on top of these other costs. The monthly nut associated with my shelter did not inhibit my ability to invest for retirement, travel, and have a bit of fun with my family and friends.

In short, buying a house was a good move for me… 20 years ago.

Today, twenty years later, I’m not so sure that buying a house would be a good financial move for me. For starters, I would have to choose between servicing the monthly nut of homeownership and every other financial goal. My mortgage, property taxes, insurance, repairs & maintenance would render me house-poor for a very long time. There wouldn’t be room in my budget for things like retirement savings, travel, entertainment, vehicle replacement, or those little luxuries that make like easier. My financial life would revolve entirely around paying for my housing, and there would be no room for my other money priorities.

I used to think that renting was a bad idea. However, my perspective has become more nuanced. If renting allows one to have a balanced life, then I think it might be a good idea. Of course, that balance has to include maxing out all retirement savings and building an investing portfolio. Those investments need to be big enough to pay for rental accommodations when the paycheques stop arriving. Whether you own a house or rent your space, you need to pay for shelter one way or another.

Cheap rates aren’t here to stay.

Today’s very low 5-year mortgage rates will go up. Securing a mortgage at 1.84% is wonderful, but that rate is likely only going to be locked in for 5 years. (And only for those who were lucky enough to grab it!) At renewal, the rate might be 3.5% or higher. Can your crystal ball predict the future perfectly? Will your budget be able to survive the mortgage payment increase that will come with a higher mortgage rate? Are you positive that you’ll still have the same income that you have now?

Even if your job’s salary stays the same, will your other expenses do the same? I’ve noticed that the cost of my streaming service goes up every 18 months or so. The price of food hasn’t gone down, ever. Taxes seem to only ever move in one direction. The list goes on. Life gets more expensive every year, yet salaries and wages don’t always go up in tandem with the increased expenses of every day life.

So even if you were only of the lucky ones to grab a super-cheap mortgage rate for a five-year portion of your mortgage, I strongly urge you to calculate how much your mortgage payment will increase when you renew. It’s not too, too crazy to believe that the bond market will push the five year rate up by 50 basis points each year for the next five years. Add 2.5% to your current rate and see what your new payment will be. Can you handle it?

Alternatives

Your first option is to pick rich parents. It’s been my observation that some parents with an excess of money are willing to help their offspring purchase a home. Financially speaking, it’s wonderful to have that kind of help to get onto the property ladder.

Not all of us can pick our parents, so that means being a little more creative.

If I were starting out today, I’d be looking at becoming a landlord. Either I’d try to buy a house with a rental suite or I would have roommates. There would have to be someone else around to contribute to the mortgage payments. If my salary paid for the minimum monthly mortgage payment, then the tenant’s rent would be what I would use for the extra payments to principle.

Would it be ideal? No. Would it have to last forever? Also, no.

A third alternative would be waiting to buy. Like I said earlier, house prices will come down as mortgage rates go up. Figure out how much of a mortgage you can afford. This number will be different than what the bank says you can afford. After all, you’re the one who’ll be responsible for the payments so look at your budget and be realistic.

Once you know how much mortgage you can comfortably carry, open an account at EQ Bank and start salting that mortgage payment away. This benefits you two ways. First, you’ll get used to having a mortgage payment since you’ll have to make that payment once you’ve signed the mortgage documents. Second, this money will help you make as large a down payment as possible.

I’m not trying to dissuade you from buying a house. Truly, I’m not. I just want you to think long and hard about the financial commitment that owning your own home will entail.

In a world without pensions, I am not persuaded that it’s a good idea for a person to spend 25-30 years paying off a mortgage without the ability to save for retirement. A mortgage debt that leads to an extended hand-to-mouth lifestyle is rarely a good thing. It limits options and inhibits one’s ability to pursue their true dreams, goals, and desires.

Retirement is coming, one way or another.

What the eyes don’t see, the heart won’t grieve…

Anonymous Online Poster

No matter how you look at it, retirement is coming.

And if you’re fortunate, you’ll get to pick when you retire. Should Life have other plans for you, then retirement may arrive unexpectedly. Either way, retirement is in your future. One of the best things you can do for Future You is to start saving today.

This year, the contribution deadline for the Registered Retirement Savings Plan is March 1, 2021. In other words, if you put money into your RRSP on or before March 1, 2021, then you will get a tax deduction that can be used against any taxes that you owe for the 2020 tax year.

Here’s a handy-dandy little chart to show you the maximum amount of money that you can put into your RRSP this year.

What’s that? You say that you don’t have $27,830 lying around to make this year’s contribution?

Do you have $1?

Fear not, Gentle Reader. The numbers listed on the chart are the maximum contribution limits. In an ideal world, you would have no trouble at all socking away this much money.

If you’re not one of the Very Fortunate Ones who can easily plunk $27,830 into your RRSP without batting an eye, then fret not. You will do what you can until you can do better. It’s really not more complicated than that.

If you can afford $1 per day, that’s $365 per year. It’s not a lot but it’s a whole lot more than nothing. If you don’t start saving this tiny daily amount, then I can assure you that you’ll regret your decision. Retiring solely on social benefits will not be comfortable.

At $5 per day, you’re looking at $1,825 per year. That’s not too shabby, but it’s also not the cat’s pyjamas. It means one less snack per day, or one less fancy coffee. (Hat tip to David Bach, who is the author of The Automatic Millionaire. This is one the first books that put yours truly on my current financial path.) Save a few calories – use your kitchen to save some money – throw that money into your RRSP and let it grow over the years.

Kick it up to $10 per day and wow! Now, you’re contributing several thousand dollars in a year. In a lot of places, $10 each day is less than you’d spend on parking your car at work. It’s less than getting a burger, fries and a drink at a fast food place. It’s not a whole lot of money, but it can certainly get you to the retirement you want if you consistently put it to good use. If you don’t believe me, check out what Mr. Money Mustache has to say about the $10 bill.

Pick your per diem.

I trust you see a pattern. By implementing a per diem for your RRSP, and setting up an automatic money transfer, you’ll be improving the chances that you’ll have a financially comfortable retirement.

Whatever amount works for your budget, that’s the amount that you should be sending to your RRSP. Before you even ask, $0 per day is not at all an appropriate amount to be saving.

Once siphoned from your daily chequing account and into your RRSP, your money will grow tax-free until withdrawn. How large will it grow? That’s up to you and/or your financial advisor.

In the interests of transparency, I will tell you that my portfolio is invested in exchange-traded funds with Vanguard Canada and iShares. I’ve gone to a fee only advisor for advice, but I do my own research and make my own investment decisions. I’m currently putting my money into equity products, after having spent 9.5 years investing solely in dividend ETFs. I’m a staunch buy-and-hold investor. That means I don’t sell after I buy. I buy what I believe to be good investments and then I just leave them alone for years and years and years. I still have the bank stocks that my parents bought for me when I was a baby…and I haven’t been a baby for a very long time!

You owe it to yourself to spend some time learning about investing your money. Save your money via automatic money transfers. Invest your money in equity products. Learn, learn, learn – as much as you can! There are books, blogs, YouTube, and people who all have information to share. Then repeat the process. Save – invest – learn – repeat!

Do not procrastinate.

Every day that you don’t open your RRSP and invest your money is a missed opportunity to grow your money in a tax-free environment. This is important because money grows faster when it is not taxed. To be very clear, money grows on a tax-deferred basis in an RRSP and you will pay taxes on the money when your withdraw it. However, if all goes well, retirement is a long way away and your money will grow into a giant pile. While you won’t be happy to pay taxes, regard that tax debt as evidence that you’re not going to be poor in your retirement. Poor people don’t pay taxes. You don’t want to be poor in your retirement.

I digress. Retirement is coming, one way or another. If you’re procrastinating about opening and/or funding your RRSP, then stop! Today’s technology means you can open and fund your RRSP from your hand-computer. You no longer need to go to a branch or talk to a human to complete these functions.

Time waits for no one. Take the steps you need to take so that you can put as much as you possibly can into your RRSP. This is a fundament step that you need to take to better your chances of having a financially comfortable dotage and being able to handle whatever financial challenges come your way when you and your income part ways.

Taking Care of Future You

Quick! Take a look at your current net worth. If you had known 10 years ago that it would be what it is today, would you have been angry if you had been forced to save more money???

The reason I ask is because I’m getting older. And the older I get, the more I notice things. One of the things I’m noticing is that my friends are getting older too. And they’re starting to make worrying noises about not having saved enough for retirement. These disquieting rumblings are leading me to wonder if perhaps people shouldn’t simply be forced to save for their retirement.

It’s Easy to Put Off Saving

Want to know why I’m such a huge fan of automating your savings?

It’s due to the fact that automation removes freedom of choice. I know myself. If I to deliberately choose to siphon money from my paycheque to my future, then I wouldn’t. I’d go through that money like a hot knife through butter! I’d be no further ahead financially but I’m sure I’d have more stuff – clothes, electronics, whatever…

I’ve curbed my ability to spend away my retirement savings by setting up automatic transfers. My paycheque comes in – the automatic transfers are triggered – I spend whatever’s left over.

Yet, I’m realizing that a lot of people don’t use automation to improve their financial futures. To be fair, I’m not talking about people who don’t have any fat to cut. Sadly, lots of people are living by the skin of their teeth and an automated savings plan won’t help those people.

I’m talking about the people who do have fat to cut. The ones who can cut back without eliminating all the little extra in life in order to fund their future financial goals. Many of them don’t do so… a situation that I find perplexing.

There’s Little to No Urgency

Perhaps the Ones-Who-Can simply don’t because retirement is so far away. It’s in the distant future, so why worry about it now when it won’t be here for a very, very, very long time?

Good question.

The answer is that tempus fungit, which is Latin for “time flies”. Yes, I’m old enough that I took a semester of Latin in high school. It still blows my mind that this year was my 30-year anniversary of graduating high school!

Your retirement will be here before you know it. Everyone gets the same 24 hours in a day. And they pass by at the same speed for all of us. No matter how busy you are, no matter how full your life is of other priorities, believes me when I say that you will get old…unless you die. Sorry to be so blunt, but it’s the truth. The only people who aren’t getting any older are the ones who have already passed.

Regardless of how far away it feels, your retirement is on the horizon. Saving up enough money to pay for it is a priority that you should focus on throughout your life.

Money From Others…

Yes, that’s right. It’s up to you to pay for your own retirement. Whether you’ll earn CPP, OAS or GIS (or Social Security and its equivalents), the amount of money you get from the government won’t be enough.

If you’ve been promised a pension, then all you have right now is a promise. The harsh reality is that pensions can fail. Think of a pension as a repository of deferred pay. Your employer pays you less today with the promise that they will pay you after you’ve retired. When a pension fails, it means that the employee who did the work doesn’t get paid as he or she was promised. It sucks and it’s unfair, and it causes a lot of havoc to pensioners who can’t turn back time and go back to work.

You should be saving your own money to supplement whatever you receive from the government and your pension. If the government and/or your pension still has money to pay you in your dotage, then that’s great. If not, then you’ll be very happy that you made the choice to tuck a little something away over the years. Err on the side of caution and start saving for your retirement.

It’s Vitally Important

There’s not much more to say at this point. You know how happy you are when you’re hungry and you eat something? That awful hungry feeling goes away and you can go on about your daily life.

You will continue to be hungry when you’re retired. You’ll still need shelter, a few clothes, access to transportation, some entertainment once in awhile. When you’re retired, I promise you that you will still yearn for your creature comforts – much in the way that you do today. In order to acquire them, your retirement funds will have to take the place of your paycheque.

Gathering sufficient retirement funds is an integral step in taking care of Future You. For the vast majority of us, it’s going to take a very long time. So unless you’re next to destitute, take immediate action. Set up a plan whereby you funnel some of today’s money towards tomorrow’s financial needs. I promise that you won’t regret doing so when the time comes to live off your retirement nest egg.

Yet…

I suspect you’ll read this, think it’s a good idea, and go on about your lives. There might be one or two of you who actually take my suggestion and plant their money tree. The rest of you… not so much.

All of us will need money until we draw our last breath. That’s the world we live in. And that’s why I’m starting to come around to the idea that people must be forced to save for their retirement. It cannot be optional. If it’s optional, then people will choose not to do it and that’s a bad choice. No one is telling you to give up all of the things that make you happy today in order to save for tomorrow. Instead, I’m encouraging you to cut back a little bit. This is so you’ll have the money you’ll need for Future You. Isn’t taking care of Future You worth a little bit of sacrifice today?

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Weekly Tip: Use your tax refund in a way that allows you to pay down some debt (30%), to invest in the future (50%), and to enjoy the present (20%). Life is about balance and enjoying the journey along the way.