COVID19 - Millionaire on the Prairie

Silver Linings

The silver linings are there if you look for them, even in a pandemic. We all know that COVID-19 has changed things in a fundamental way at a societal level. However, as with most things in life, its impact on individual lives is different depending on one’s access to money and resources.

Over the past few months, I’ve been reading articles about how some people are seeing an improvement in their finances in the midst of COVID19. Working from home means that people are saving money on professional wardrobes, commuting costs, grooming products, cosmetics. Some people are even moving from their expensive locales to cheaper areas since they no longer need to be physically close their offices. In other words, people haven’t had to spend their money in certain categories because COVID19 allows them to work in their pyjamas in the comfort of their own homes.

There is no arguing with the fact that the pandemic has severely impacted life as we knew it a mere 7 months ago. Yet, there are some pretty serious financial benefits for some people. The people I’m referring to still have steady and substantial paycheques, yet they can work from home. For this fortunate group, their income is the same yet their outgo has dropped.

If you’re one of the fortunate ones who still has a reliable income, assess your own situation. Determine if you’re saving money by working from home. If so, calculate whether those savings are getting you closer to your financial goals.

There’s some chatter in the system about a vaccine for COVID19. No one knows when it will be found, nor how quickly it will take for all of us to get it. All we know for sure is that the pandemic won’t last forever.

We can also very be certain of the following. Regardless of whether we move back into our old offices, spending will go up. Think of the concerts, retreats, tournaments, and conferences that have all been put on hold due to the pandemic. Those will return with a vengeance. People who’ve chosen not to risk traveling will be on the way to the airports within days of getting vaccinated. After all, time is precious and the world is a big place. Those struck by wanderlust will be making up for lost time.

What I’m saying is this. Take this opportunity to save. Nothing obligates you to spend the money you’re saving by working from home. I’m not even suggesting that you hoard every penny. I’m urging you to take note of the financial silver linings that available to you during this pandemic.

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Weekly Tip: Listen to podcasts about money. You’ll learn a little something about a great many things. Try out a few different ones. Take what you like. Leave what doesn’t work for you. Be open-minded, but don’t let your brains fall out. As I’ve said before, you need not make every mistake yourself. You can learn from the mistakes of others.

Taking it Day By Day

It’s been 4.5 months since the World Health Organization declared that the globe was in the grips of a pandemic. Since then, there has been much upheaval in people’s lives due in no small part to the financial impacts of lost jobs, the inability to travel, and social isolation. What are we supposed to do when going outside means taking the risk that we’ll contract a disease about which so much is still unknown?

We have to take things day by day.

By nature, I’m a planner. For example, I enjoy planning my travel. It’s fun to peruse all the websites, read up on the various sites, figure out where I want to go. In 2018, I went to Ireland for the first time. I crossed an item off my Bucket List – booking my time off then looking for a good travel deal. My biggest regret about that trip was that it was somewhat last-minute, in that I booked it only 6 weeks before getting on a plane. In the deep recesses of my travel-planner heart, I hadn’t given myself enough anticipation-time. Six weeks wasn’t enough time to dream about my upcoming trip and to imagine all the cool things I’d be seeing & doing.

Of course, in hindsight, I should have taken more time off and visited Northern Ireland and Scotland while I was over there. Who knew that a global pandemic would crush the airline & travel industries?

COVID-19 has changed things…

Today, I’m not doing as much travel planning. As you can well imagine, it’s difficult to get excited about flying anywhere when my personal view is that airplanes are the petri dishes of the sky. Similarly, long road trips are in the not-just-yet category since I’m not keen on staying in a hotel or going to restaurants.

Right now, I’m taking things day by day. My natural urge to plan has been channeled into cooking and baking. I’m already at home. My kitchen is right there. I have the ingredients and the tools to cook and bake delicious things for myself. Meal-planning is finally receiving the attention that it’s due. Trips to the grocery store are less frequent, but I do buy a lot more when I go. Once home, I start figuring out what to eat right away and how to meal-prep for the upcoming week.

As for investing, I have no choice but to take things day by day. The last time there was a big drop in the stock market was in 2008-2009. I made a huge mistake by stopping my contributions to my investment account!!! Thankfully, I was smart enough not to sell anything but I wasn’t smart enough to keep investing on the way down.

To date, the highest point of the Toronto Stock Exchange was reached on February 21, 2020. Then the market plunged, and kept plunging until March 23, 2020. The TSX has been slowly re-gaining ground since then. (Man oh man was I glad that I didn’t have access to cable TV during this time. I would’ve been a basket case listening to all the “experts” talking about investing.)

Sticking to the Plan

This time around, I stuck to my saving and investing plan. I ignored the headlines. I trusted the example set by history that the stock market will recover. No one knows precisely how, nor can anyone guarantee when the recovery will happen. This time, I decided to take things day by day and to continue to save & invest for my future.

I had a few things going for me. Firstly, I’m still fortunate enough to have my job. There are millions of people who aren’t in the same boat so they’ve had to decide whether to eat today or eat tomorrow. Secondly, I was already debt-free before the pandemic hit. I don’t have to worry about creditors or missing my mortgage payments. My financial foundation is firm. Thirdly, I don’t have cable so I missed a great many of the interviews with the people who predicted that “this time would be different.” I didn’t hear the stories from people who believe that the market could not possibly recover from COVID19.

Finally, I’m older and wiser today than I was in 2008-2009. I’ve learned from my mistakes. Had I continued to invest back then, I’d be so much closer to my retirement goals. My inexperience and fear caused me to sit on the sidelines while the market recovered. In other words, I wasn’t investing when the stock market was on sale. When I finally did re-start my investment program, I’d promised myself that I would continue to invest during the next downturn.

So when COVID19 came long and took a great big bite out of the stock market, I kept my promise. Money earned – money saved – money invested – repeat!

My portfolio still hasn’t recovered completely but I’m much farther along than I would have been had I stopped investing. I’ve been able to my more units in my dividend exchange traded funds. As a results, my monthly dividend payment has gone up considerably. This is a very good thing. I was fortunate enough to be able to make a contribution to my Registered Retirement Savings Plan. As per the advice of an independent financial planner, I invested those funds into a global equity ETF. Boom! I firmly believe that my choice to follow his advise will add a nice little kick to my RRSP in the coming years.

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Weekly Tip: Allocate your money in a way that allows you to invest in the stock market for atleast 15 years. Use broad-based ETFs to invest your money in equities. ETFs move in the same direction as the stock market. They simultaneously eliminate the risks of trying to cherry pick the next Apple/Tesla/Facebook stock. If you absolutely cannot stop yourself from stock picking, then please limit this hobby to only 5% of the equity portion of your portfolio. The other 95% of your equity investments should be allowed to chug along in a broad-based ETF for a long period of time.

The Honest Truth

Roughly 20 years ago, I landed my first professional office job. It entailed monthly meetings with my manager, wherein I updated him on my current workload. He was an amiable man and most meetings were sprinkled with little nuggets of life advice.

One of the acorns of advice that has always stayed with me is the following. “Never believe that this place needs you. Always remember that you can be replaced.”

It sounds harsh, doesn’t it? As I look back on those words, I appreciate them because they are the honest truth.

My manager wasn’t being mean or obnoxious. He was being truthful. If I hadn’t been hired to do my job, then my organization would have hired someone else. And if I had chosen to walk out at that very minute, the organization would have tackled the task of finding my replacement.

That particular acorn took root.

For nearly two decades, those words have rolled around in my head. The honest truth they embodied has been one of the underlying reasons of why I save and invest. It is imperative that my money works as hard for me as I do for it. My money must insulate me to the greatest extent possible from the financial consequences should my organization decide that it’s time for me to be replaced, that it can survive without my contributions to its operations.

If you’re somewhat sentient when this post is published, then you can’t help but be aware that a great many people have lost their jobs through no fault of their own because of the COVID-19 pandemic. The news reports are rife with articles of the millions of people who have had no choice but to turn to the government for financial assistance to survive.

However, I suspect that there is a cohort of the Recently-Let-Go who haven’t had to ask for financial assistance. I’m willing to guess that this cohort is compromised of people who’ve worked for a couple of decades and who made the choice to live below their means throughout their working lives so that they could invest their money. I wouldn’t be surprised if this fortunate cohort has made the choice to stay out of debt no matter how often credit was offered to them. And I’ve assumed that this cohort is going to keep a tight, heavy lid on their status so that they can continue to live as they always have – social distancing & hand-washing as required – without drawing the ire of their family, friends, neighbours & former co-workers. Check out the comments on this article.

Continued employment isn’t guaranteed.

As a result of my manager’s words, I’ve always known that my employment was at the whim of someone else. Sure – I’d likely find another position somewhere else, but what if it took me a long time to do so? How would I pay for my life between one employer and the next? Even if I tried to become self-employed (something that has never held any appeal to me), how would I pay for my life before the money started rolling in?

Hearing the honest truth from my manager during a routine monthly meeting incentivized me to do all of the following things:

pay off my student loans as quickly as possible;
build my emergency fund through automatic transfers every payday;
re-pay the loan on my SUV in 6 months by making gargantuan payments every two weeks & by sacrificing a little bit of fun & frivolity;
invest a portion every paycheque in the stock market once the mortgage on my principle residence had been paid off;
move out of mutual funds and into exchange traded funds once I learned how deeply management expense ratios impacted my overall rate of return;
stay out of debt by paying off my credit cards every single month; and
pay cash for everything.

I know those last two bullet points sound contradictory, but they aren’t. If I don’t have cash, then I don’t use my credit cards. Once the cash is in my bank account, then out comes my credit card to make the purchase. This method means that I earn cash back or points towards groceries. The charge is applied to my account then I send a payment from my bank account to my credit card. Best of both worlds – I always pay cash while taking advantage of the perks of having my credit cards. If you can’t pay off your credit cards every month, then don’t do what I do. Only spend cash or use a debit card!

Motivation comes from unlikely sources.

It’s taken me a long time to see the link between words spoken nearly 20 years ago and the financial choices that I’ve made in my life. The honest truth from my manager’s lips motivated me to build as big a financial cushion as I could as fast as humanly possible. It didn’t happen overnight, and there were many mistakes made along the way. To this day, payday still means that a chunk of money is set aside for the future.

Another source of motivation for me comes from our current global pandemic. COVID-19 has me re-assessing whether my emergency fund is big enough. For record, I have made plans to increase it. It’s my firm belief that no one has ever regretted having “too much money” during an emergency.

In a similar vein, the money saved from staying home while most everything is closed has been re-directed into sinking funds. There are still big expenses on the horizon. Property taxes will still have to be paid at some point. My home and vehicle insurance premiums are still due in a few months. Birthdays and other celebrations might still require me to open my wallet, even if I can only visit with people via video and telephone. The annually recurring expenses of living will continue to come around, whether we’re still in a pandemic or not.

Do yourself a favour! Go back to my manager’s works and let them sink in. At the end of the day, your employer can always choose to replace you. Sooner or later, there is going to be a parting of the ways for reasons that may be beyond your control. Be proactive – take the steps today to ensure that you’ll be financially okay when that time comes.

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Weekly Tip: Live below your means so that you have money to invest. This is another way of saying pay yourself first. After you’ve paid yourself, then you can get down to the business of paying everyone else.

Beware the Minimum Payment!

Right from the get-go, I’m going to ask those of you who already know this to forgive me for stating the obvious. Minimum payments benefit the lender way, way, way more than they benefit the borrower.

Beware the minimum payment!

When you borrow money from the lender, you’re taking out a loan. And when you do so, you’re agreeing to pay interest on the money borrowed. The loan is governed by a contract, so the very best time to amend the terms of the contract – and thereby the terms of the loan – is before you sign the contract!!! In other words, don’t take a loan if you don’t believe that the terms of the loan will be beneficial to you.

The repayment terms of the loan are set out in the contract. If you don’t like them, or the lender won’t change them, then don’t take the loan. This is the most effective way for you to avoid having repayment terms in your life that may cause you financial grief in the future.

And for those wondering how to buy what you want without a loan, the answer is that you will require a combination of cash and patience. Save up your money then make the purchase. You’ll get what you want. You won’t pay any interest. It’s the ideal situation so strive to make it your reality.

However, there are times when you simply need to borrow money to get what it is that you want. If this is the situation in which you find yourself, then I want you to be very aware of the trap of minimum payments.

Making minimum payments benefits the lender because they can charge you interest on the outstanding loan balance for the longest period of time. If you take out a 5-year car payment, then the loan is structured so that the lender earns as much interest as possible off the loan. In other words, you as the borrower will pay back the maximum amount of interest.

The legal way to minimize the amount of interest you re-pay on the loan is to make extra payments. Get a second job – sell some stuff online – cut some subscriptions from your life. However you choose to find extra money is up to you. The bottom line is that you take that extra money and apply it to your outstanding loan. Go back to the car loan for a hot minute. If you can make extra payments on the loan and pay it off in 2 years instead of 5, then you will keep three years of interest payments in your pocket rather than sling that money into your lender’s pocket.

As of the date of publishing this blog post, the banks in Canada are allowing mortgage holders to apply for a six-month deferral of their mortgage payments. If approved, people who have mortgages won’t have to make mortgage payments for six months. It’s called a mortgage deferral.

This deferral means that the people who took out a mortgage will have to repay the money, eventually. (I’m not an expert on how the program works. If you need the details, please contact your bank.)

Make no mistake. The banks want their money back. The banks lent the money to borrowers at an agreed-upon rate of interest for an agreed-upon period of time. That the banks are allowing borrowers to defer repayments on their mortgages is quite unprecedented in my experience. What I wonder is whether the borrowers understand that a deferral of their mortgage payment is not the same as a waiver. The deferred payments are still outstanding. And borrowers will continue to owe interest on those payments until the money is repaid to the lender.

Again, the banks want their money back. So if a borrower receives a deferral from their bank, the borrower still has to repay that money. And guess what? Interest will continue to accrue on that deferred payment.

What? Are you surprised? Did you think that the banks would stop the interest clock from running? If so, gently hit yourself on the head with a hammer. Of course, the banks are going to continue to charge interest on their loans.

This is not a debate about the morality of the banks during the COVID19 pandemic. What I want to impart in this post is that the second best option is to get out of debt as fast as possible. Minimum payments are not your friends. In the case of a mortgage, the numbers are a lot bigger so a deferral is going to mean a much higher amount of interest will be charged during the deferral period.

If you’re considering applying for a mortgage deferral, keep the following in mind. A deferral means that the money is not being paid back as agreed upon in the loan. It does not mean that the money remains outstanding without interest being charged by the lender.

Allow me to state this concept another way. The interest only stops accruing when the loan is repaid. Paying later means paying more interest. The only way to avoid the interest charge is to repay the loan.

Beware the minimum payment! It never benefits the borrower.

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Weekly Tip: Once you’ve finished making debt payments to a lender, continue making those same payments to yourself. Re-direct your former debt payments to a high interest savings account. You were living without the money when you had a debt, so continue to live without that money when the debt is gone.

Take a Break

I don’t know about you but sometimes I need to take a break. The world is currently caught up in a pandemic – a very bad thing. The news outlets are constantly issuing new articles – another very bad thing. It’s impossible to know who to believe, who to disbelieve, what’s true, and what’s not so true. Part of me suspects that the drive for ratings is still deeply driving the amount of pandemic “information” that is being spewed at us from all directions all day long.

Following the media from sun-up to sun-down is a recipe for anxiety and stress, so I’m going to tell you that it’s okay to take a break. Put down your phone or turn off your TV. Trust me when I say that your mind will appreciate a few hours or days of not being forced to think about the pandemic. Sadly, the bad news will be around for a little while longer.

Do something very different with your mental energy. Think about how you want your life to be structured when the pandemic is over.

Over?

Yes, over. This pandemic is not like the rising sun, which will always be there tomorrow morning. Nope – this pandemic is a global yet temporary circumstance. It won’t last forever. And every new day brings the world that much closer to a vaccine or a shot that will turn COVID19 from something to be feared into something that can be tamed.

So, again, what do you want your life to be once this pandemic is over?

And since this is a blog about personal finance, I suggest that you reflect on how this pandemic has changed your perspective on money.

If you had an emergency fund, was it enough? Do you want a bigger one for the next unexpected emergency?
Did a reduced paycheque forced you to re-assess your needs vs. your wants? Will you go back to how you spent before once if your paycheque goes back to its former size?
Are you as risk-tolerant as you thought you were? Or has the recent & extreme volatility of the stock market caused you to lose sleep at the same rate that your portfolio has lost money?
When the pandemic is over, what will you do to repair or bolster your financial buffers?
Will you seek out employment in “essential” industries? Or will you stay where you are because it’s what makes you happy?

Now’s the time to think about these kinds of questions because we’re staying at home to flatten the curve. That should give many of us Singletons plenty of time to make some tentative money plans for our future.

At the very least, figuring out the answers for these questions should take our minds off of COVID19 for a little while at least. The pandemic is going to cause a lot of sorrow for a lot of people. It’s impact will be deep, widespread and long-lasting.

That said, it shouldn’t force you to stop dreaming and planning for your future. The game isn’t over until it’s over.

Never forget that this too shall pass.

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Weekly Tip: Read books – as many as you can. Libraries are a treasure trove of information and entertainment. And in today’s digital world, you can download books to your e-reader.

I am not an Economist

First and foremost, I am not an economist. I write this article as someone old enough to remember H1N1, SARS, the Great Financial Crisis, and the DotCom crash. I’m quite certain that there were other economic challenges earlier in my life but I was young enough, or naive enough, to take no notice of their impact on my life.

Anyone who pays attention such things knows that the stock market is experiencing a great deal of volatility right now. Most people are scared of contracting COVID19. Businesses are shuttered. Some people are losing their jobs. Other people are trying to hoard essential products. Pictures of empty grocery shelves are everywhere.

It’s easy to be afraid right now.

Again, I am not an economist. However, you should have faith that the stock market will recover. When? No one knows. Yet, I am 99.999% certain that this is not the end of capitalism. The supply chains are still running. Grocery shelves are still being stocked. Prescriptions are still being filled.

Very smart people all over the planet are working on a vaccine for COVID19. They will find one.

What I think you should do

Do not panic with your investments! If you can avoid it, then do not sell anything in your portfolio right now. The only way to lock in a loss is to sell when the price falls.

The stock market will recover from this dip. No one knows how whether the recovery will happen by the end of 2020, or whether it will recover in 2 years. However, the impact of COVID19 will become an item in the rearview mirror when the stock market starts to go up again. Just like H1N1, SARS, the Great Financial Crisis, the DotCom crash, and all the other economic shocks that have preceded this virus.

Should you be one of the fortunate ones who has stable employment right now, then I urge you to stick to your current investing schedule. This suggestion is based on the assumption that you have a fully-funded emergency fund of atleast 6 months of expenses. If your emergency fund isn’t this full, then cut out non-essential spending until it’s nice and fat. You’ll never regret having an emergency fund when you need one!

Keep your investing schedule in place. I invest monthly. I plan to continue investing unless circumstances drastically change. A long time ago, I decided that timing the market would only drive me nuts so I’ve never attempted to market-time my investments. Instead, I opted to making regular investments into the stock market every month. Money goes in – dividends get paid & re-invested – money goes in – dividends get paid & re-invested… ad infinitum…

If you have an investing schedule, then stick to it. Right now, investors have the ability to buy equities when prices are low. Again, I’m going to state the obvious – the stock market is low right now. No one – and I mean NO ONE – knows if we’ve hit the bottom of whether the stock market will continue to fall over the next few weeks. Yet, those who invest in a broadband index funds (or exchange-traded fund or mutual fund) and who stay invested for the long-term will see positive returns.

Note that I’m only referring to buying broad-based index funds and similar products during this downturn in the market. If you’re the sort who engages in stock picking, then I wish you all the best. Stock analysis is not something that I would suggest. I have no way of knowing which stocks will recover to unseen heights and which ones will crash when the underlying business fails.

Learn from my mistake

Full disclosure: I am a self-taught buy-and-hold investor who believes in dollar-cost averaging. This means that I skim money from each paycheque to invest in the stock market on a regular monthly schedule. I invest in exchange-traded funds, and I’ve done well.

However, I haven’t always made the smartest decisions with my money. I’ve made significant errors with my own investments. One of the worst decisions I made was back in 2008 when the stock market plunged. The value of the stock market was falling and I made a HUGE mistake. I stopped investing money on the way down!!! My fear took hold and I decided to wait until the “market got better”. Thankfully, I was smart enough not to sell but I wasn’t smart enough to stick to my strategy to dollar-cost average into the market.

Had I stuck to my strategy of investing money every month, I would have been buying during the market crash. This is known as “buying low“, and it’s an exceptionally good thing when you plan to hold onto investments for a very long time.

If I hadn’t erred, I would have taken full advantage of the recovery that started in 2009 and that ran up until a few weeks ago. My portfolio might have been big enough to let me retire a few years earlier than planned had I not made this monumental error.

Though I can’t remember exactly when, I did re-start my investing schedule and I’ve stuck to it ever since. COVID19 is not going to prevent me from counting to save-invest-learn-repeat. I will still move money from my paycheque to my investing account. Every month, I’ll continue to buy units in my exchange-traded funds. I will not stop regular investing this time around.

And if my income isn’t stable?

If your income is variable, or in doubt, then your focus needs to be on eliminating all non-essential spending from your life so you can squirrel away your cash. Right now, your priority has to be survival – rent/mortgage, food & prescription medicines. Everything else has to go on the back-burner until you get a handle on how you’re going to continue to receive an income.

Focus on beefing up your emergency fund. That money that used to go to drive-through coffees? Stick it in your emergency fund. Your monthly massage? Social distancing means massages are out for a while. This is a really good time to cut subscriptions to things that no longer bring you joy. Find the fat in your budget and trim it away so that you have money to live on if your income goes away.

Keep your money liquid in a high interest savings account. Allow me to state the obvious: you will need cash to get you through the hard times in case you lose your job. This is not the time to be making extra payments to your debts, nor is it the time to start investing in the stock market. Gather your money in a safe place so it will be there when you need it.

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Weekly Tip: Stop non-essential spending for the next few weeks. Top up your emergency fund. Stay indoors. Wash your hands. Stay healthy!