Owning vs. Renting…decisions, decisions!

In the interests of complete transparency, I’m going to say that I am a homeowner. I’ve owned my current home since 2004, and I bought my first home in 2001. I only ever rented for a few years – maybe 2? – before I got my very first mortgage and jumped on the property ladder.

Things have changed drastically in the past 20 years… Damn! I hate typing that out, but facts are facts. Twenty years ago, I was able to buy my first place for $74,000. Fortunately, I bought just before prices in my province went crazy.

I’ve listened to both sides of the own vs. rent debate, and both sides make good points. Personally, I still prefer to own. Why?

When I’m old, I want to have the option of selling my home to pay my bills. Renters do not have that option.

I’ve spent years reading Garth Turner’s advice at the Greater Fool. He strongly advocates that people who own sell today, if not yesterday, so that they can take advantage of the incredibly high housing prices that we are currently seeing in various parts of Canada. He exhorts them to invest their tax-free capital gains, to create a cash flow that will pay for their living expenses, and to become happy, carefree renters. Mr. Turner has written numerous blog posts about the costs of home ownership, and how people routinely discount the costs of maintenance, repairs, taxes, land transfer fees, and all other expenses that come with owning a home. Paying the mortgage is least of a homeowner’s concern. There are so many other ways that a house becomes a financial albatross!

Mr. Turner advocates for becoming a renter, allowing the landlord to subsidize your housing expenses, and investing the difference between rental payments and mortgage payments. I will admit that this perspective is compelling. Having owned my home for years, I am known to refer to it as a money pit. There’s always something that needs to be paid. Renting and living off my investment portfolio does have a seductive ring to it.

…Until I start thinking about whether my portfolio is big enough to handle 20 to 30 years of rent increases. I don’t want to be 75 years old and facing yet another rental increase that means I’ll have to move to a smaller, less desirable location. I know the stock market has returned 10%-12% on average over very long periods of time. That’s all fine and good. Yet, we know that this is an average. Some years, the stock market drops.

If I have a $200 per month rental increase in a year where my portfolio has taken a hit, then don’t I have to liquidate some of my principal to pay my rent? And doesn’t that mean that I’m cannibalizing my portfolio’s capital right when I shouldn’t be touching it? Once the money has been withdrawn to pay rent, it’s no longer able to recover and grow. Selling during a downturn means I’d be decreasing the size of my portfolio at the worst possible time in order to keep a roof over my head.

That is precisely what I should not be doing in my dotage. Remember, the ideal scenario is that my portfolio will always churn off enough capital gains and dividends to cover my living costs.

But what if it doesn’t? What if my portfolio isn’t big enough to churn off sufficient funds to pay for my living expenses once I’ve stopped working? Then what happens? Who comes to my rescue as my portfolio dwindles over the years?

With a house, I believe that I have a few more options. Once it’s paid for, there’s no longer any risk that the bank will foreclose on it. Whew! It’ll still cost me in upkeep and repairs. Those are just a fact of life. However, my house lets me participate in house-hacking if necessary. I can take in a roommate. I can rent my house to someone who needs the space while I live somewhere else. If I needed to, I could sell it and use the money to pay for my long-term care. Or I can die in my own home, secure in the knowledge that no one ever forced me to leave a place where I wanted to live.

I’ve yet to see the pro-renting advocates address the fact that not everyone is able to build a portfolio that is large enough to cover ever increasing rents, and the other costs of living. Mr. Turner’s suggested course of action works wonderfully for people who bought in Vancouver 25 years ago and are now sitting on millions in equity. I’m not as easily persuaded that it works for people who don’t already have a boatload of equity to invest in the stock market. It’s true that a house cannot be sold one doorknob at a time to pay for one’s bills. However, it can be sold all at once and hopefully the money lasts as long as needed.

Life has taught me that there is no one right answer for every situation. If you can build a portfolio large enough to sustain you, then I see no problem with renting. It’s the situation where a large portfolio isn’t in the renter’s future that troubles me. In those circumstances, it’s very difficult for me to believe that renting is better. If the portfolio isn’t sufficiently large to cover life’s expenses, and there’s no home to sell, then what is the renter to do to find additional money?

I will think on it some more. Stay tuned.

Renting vs. Owning

I’ve been a big fan of Garth Turner, who blogs over at Greater Fool, for a few years now. He’s a big proponent of creating cash flows for retirement. Towards that end, he has written many, many persuasive posts about why people should sell their homes, invest the equity, and live off the investment income.

It’s not necessarily a bad plan. For a very long time, I thought it was a great plan.

But…

Lately, I’ve come to question how feasible this plan is for everyone who owns a house. If you’ve been in Vancouver or Toronto for a few decades, then your house could likely sell for a high 6-figure amount, possibly even a 7-figure amount. And if you’ve been there for a few decades, then hopefully your mortgage is gone.

Take that sweet, sweet cash and invest it – in a properly balanced and diversified portfolio, a la Garth Tuner. Now you’ve got cash flow coming in from your investment portfolio to pay your rent. If you’re really fortunate, your investments might even kick off enough money for you to live on. Easy, peasy, lemon-squeezy!

Yet I still have doubts…

My only concern with Mr. Turner’s advice is that not everyone has a home that, when sold, will generate enough money to live on. If a person’s in that situation, and sells, then they face the prospect of ever increasing rents. While their portfolio is growing in the background (hopefully!), it’s quite conceivable that their rental increases outpace the growth of their investment income. In this situation, portfolio income isn’t enough to pay your rent. Mr. Turner’s plan no longer works.

Are people really in a better situation if they’re renting and their employment income has to go towards rent, instead of towards buying more investments, because their portfolio’s returns won’t cover the bills?

In that situation, isn’t the portfolio more like a part-time job than a reliable cash-flow on which one can live and eventually retire? And I use the term “part-time job” to convey the idea that, while the income from a part-time job nice to have, the annual amount of money generated isn’t enough by itself to keep body and soul together.

And if their employment income and investment income are both used to pay the rent, then what happens when the employment income goes away?

Then they’re without a home, and their portfolio’s not generating enough money to cover all that needs to be covered.

Renting might not be the answer

One of my greatest financial fears is being an elderly person who rents. Once employment stops, then all expenses have to be covered by pension payments and investment returns. Pensions are disappearing at an incredibly rapid clip. Investment returns aren’t guaranteed, even if you’re one of the lucky ones who managed build a multi-million dollar portfolio before retirement.

It seems to me that a paid-off home is a cornerstone of a secure retirement. People who own their own homes don’t have to be concerned with rental increases or eviction. They can stay in their homes for as long as their health will allow.

This is great!

And yet…

Houses are so damn expensive today! Even if you’re not in Vancouver or Toronto, a $350,000 house isn’t exactly cheap when you’re earning less than six figures. If it takes you 20-25 years to pay off your mortgage, and your employer isn’t promising you a pension, when exactly are you going to have that extra money to set aside in an investment portfolio?

If you’re not one of the people who earns enough money to pay off a mortgage while simultaneously saving for retirement, then maybe Garth Turner is right.

After all, you might avoid rental increases and eviction but let’s face facts. A paid-off house won’t help you buy groceries and heat and medicine in your dotage. Reality being what it is, a person cannot spend their house one doorknob at a time in order to buy what they need, when they need it. Only money can be spent on stuff. A paid for house represents locked-in money. It’s money that cannot be invested or spent unless the home is sold or otherwise mortgaged.

So what’s the right answer?

I have no idea. The older I get, the less I really know for sure.

For many people, housing is ridiculously expensive and it requires a paycheque-to-paycheque existence until the mortgage is gone. Funding one’s own retirement by creating a reliable cash flow is also ridiculously expensive, yet it’s a task that few of us can afford to ignore.

I can certainly see the allure of living off of investment income after liquidating the equity in your home. But so many things have to go right for a very long time for this plan to be feasible. One, you have to properly invest the money. Two, you have to hang on to your investments even when the market drops during a recession. Three, you have to know what to do when black swan events have a negative impact on your portfolio.

Yet, I can also see the hazards of spending most of your working life paying for a house. One, you don’t have significant retirement savings because it took so long to pay off your mortgage. You didn’t have enough time to re-direct your former mortgage payments towards your investment portfolio. Two, you’re making a long-term bet that you’ll always have an income over the 20+ years it might take you to pay off your mortgage. Three, you forever foresake the growth that your money could’ve provided had you invested it in a well-balanced & diversified portfolio.

Again, I don’t know what the right answer is. By way of this article, I simply want you to be aware of the options, the benefits, and the drawbacks. Start figuring out what’s best for you and for your future.

Whether you choose to rent or you choose to own, make that decision with your eyes wide open and fully aware of the opportunity costs of your choice.