Category: Financial Independence

Financial Independence – Make It Your Goal!

Over the past few months, I’ve been seeing many articles about the death of FIRE. For those that don’t know, FIRE is an acronym for Financial Independence, Retire Early. Its popularity as an idea really took off before March 2020. Since the return of inflation, not as many people have been preaching about it.

For my part, I’ve always wanted to retire early – ideally in my 30s and 40s. Believe me when I say that ship has sailed! To be fair, I’ll retire before the traditional age of 65, but I definitely won’t be considered a super-early retiree. And if we’re being honest with each other, I’ll admit that I’m a bit sad that I can’t retire right now. So while I’ve always been a big fan of FIRE, the second half of the acronym was intriguing but I was never able to be fully wedded to it.

The first part of the acronym is a completely different story. Financial independence? Yes, please!

Achieving financial independence is one of my foundational beliefs about the purpose of having money. In my opinion, everyone should be striving for financial independence. Nobody should be financially dependent on someone else their entire life. As a single person, I’ve always known that I didn’t have the luxury of another person’s paycheque coming into my household. I’m the only one responsible for ensuring that there’s enough money to pay for the life I want to live. To that end, I’ve made financial independence one of my life’s goals because I know that one day, I won’t be able to work anymore. When that day comes, I need to ensure that I have enough money to pay for my life’s expenses when my employer and I part ways.

I have always been enamored with the idea of having sufficient passive income to live comfortably without having to go to work. This was my Holy Grail. And the best way I knew how to achieve this was to invest a portion of every single paycheque into the stock market. What do I mean by a portion? I’d describe it as a decent chunk – maybe not half but certainly more than a measly 10%.

A long time ago, I decided to invest and that decision has paid off handsomely. I started slowly, with $50 bi-weekly. As my income grew, so did my bi-weekly contribution amount. The habit of investing was made much easier by the power of automation. I didn’t have to decide to invest every 2 weeks. The automatic transfer whisked the money out of my chequing account and into my investment account without my participation. Today, I’m very happy that my stock portfolio kicks off an ever-increasing amount of passive income every single year.

So how did I get to this point with my money? And is it something others can do too?

When I was 21 years old, I knew nothing about investing. I started anyway.

My parents’ accountant told me I wasn’t making the wisest choice by contributing to my RRSP. I ignored him and put money into my RRSP. He had suggested that I save for my first house. Looking back, I can appreciate his advice and, with the benefit of hindsight, I’ll admit that it made the most sense. I was a 21 year old student, therefore in the lowest tax bracket, so contributing to an RRSP might not have been ideal for my circumstances. That said, the fact remains that I was headstrong and so I did what I wanted. After all, I knew what an RRSP was and I’d been influenced by the Freedom 55 commercials that were popular at the time.

So for a few years, all I did was invest money into mutual funds within my RRSP. Remember, I knew next to nothing about investing. I didn’t let my lack of knowledge stop me. I consumed books about personal finance. When the internet allowed, I started to consume websites and blogposts about money, investing, and personal finance. Eventually, I graduated and got my first adult job, so I set up that life-changing automatic transfer from my paycheque to my investment accounts.

I moved out of my parents’ house and really had to pay attention to where my money was going. At some point, I started an emergency fund. It took a very, very long time but eventually my emergency fund grew to where it is today. I can easily cover 6 months’ of expenses, if I have to.

In 2009, the TFSA came into existence. I decided to stuff my TFSA to the max every January. When I learned that ETFs were cheaper than mutual funds, even though they do the exact same thing, I switched the securities inside my RRSP and TFSA from mutual funds to ETFs. That was the second smartest money move I’ve ever made.

Again, it took a very long time but eventually my RRSP and TFSA were both maxed out. I still wanted to invest a portion of my paycheque, but where? And that’s when I remembered my brokerage account. (My parents had bought me a few bank shares when I was a baby, so I’d been holding them in my brokerage account.) By this point, I knew that money earned in the form of dividends and capital gains would be taxed less harshly than money earned from my job.

And while the RRSP and TFSA had contribution limits, my personal brokerage account allowed for unlimited contributions. In theory, I could invest so much money that income from dividends and capital gains would be enough to pay for all of my life’s expensive. Stated in a different way, I could live on passive income and pay less taxes at the same time! Once I’d had that realization, I was hooked. Every time I got a raise at work, I increased the contributions to my brokerage account.

By now, I’d heard of FIRE. I thanked Younger Me for putting me on the path to financial independence. Of course, Younger Me made some very big mistakes. For example, I was investing in dividend-paying ETFs instead of equity-focused ETFs for way too long. As a result, I didn’t benefit as much as I should have from the stock market bull-run between 2009-2020. Had I invested in equity-based ETFs from Day 1, I would probably be retired right now and my portfolio would probably be twice as large. No sense crying about it. I’ve since corrected my investment strategy and my portfolio is doing much better.

Financial independence was my goal, and I’m well on my way to meeting achieving it.

And the longer I strive for it, the more I believe that everyone owes it to themselves to be financially independent too. I’ve watched colleagues get trapped into jobs they hate by their debts. So many people live off their credit cards and lines of credit, which makes them slaves to their creditors. Living in debt equals sacrificing your financial future. It also means that your employer has more control over you life’s choices than you would otherwise want to give them.

Can you imagine the options you would have if you had a portfolio that covered your basic needs?

Such a portfolio would give you the power to walk away from any employer at any time. You wouldn’t need the paycheque! Your portfolio would be paying for your food, shelter, clothing, transportation, and communication needs. You could live without a job. How awesome would that be? No more Sunday-scaries!

Alternatively, if there was a job you loved and it paid peanuts, you could happily take that job and still not worry about how to pay for your life’s expenses. Think about it! The money from the love-job would be your fun money. Passive income would ensure your survival and you could join that exalted group of People-Who-Love-What-They-Do-For-A-Living! Those are truly some of the luckiest people in the world.

This is why I believe that everyone should be striving for the first part of FIRE – financial independence. And if you want to retire early, then go for it. Not everyone wants to retire ASAP and that’s fine. When to retire should be your choice. If you want to keep working after having accumulated a nice, fat cash cushion of investments, then you can do so… with the added comfort of knowing that it’s truly a choice, rather than a necessity.

So, is the idea of FIRE really dead? No. I think it’s still alive and well for many people. What I think has changed is the sentiment that it’s okay to talk about FIRE in the current economic climate. Many, many, many people are suffering due to the impacts of the high inflation we experienced in 2022-2023. Prices skyrocketed while wages and salaries remained the same. Many people were squeezed and continue to feel the pinch of their money not going as far as it used to.

Talking about FIRE would be crass. People who are struggling financially, yet also want FIRE, do not need to be reminded that it will be harder for them to become financially independent and that retirement is further away. Instead, the pursuit of FIRE has returned to the shadow and those of us who are still pursuing it are simply doing so very quietly and very discreetly.

Increasing my Passive Income in a Few Clicks

This week, I gave myself a $600 annual raise. No, I didn’t get a promotion or take a different job. Instead, I simply increased my passive income by buying some bank stock. As I’ve said before, salary and income need not be the same thing. There are always ways to increase your income even if your salary isn’t going up as fast as you want it to.

Normally, I’m not a stock-picker. I love my exchange-traded funds because they pay me dividends every month and I get the benefit of diversification. Another way of saying this is as follows. My ETFs generate passive income, which is my very favourite kind of income.

Allow me to be extremely clear. I bought shares in this bank solely because I’d received a stock tip from my sibling who is very wise and very methodical about certain things. Stock tips that come my way are generally disregarded instantly. Like I said, I’m a believer in ETFs and that’s where I’ve been investing my bi-weekly contributions to my investment portfolio since 2011. So why did I listen to my sibling this time around? Why did I act on this particular stock tip?

First, I understand what banks do. They make money, hand over fist, year-in-year-out. Some of that money is paid out to shareholders in the form of dividends. Given that I’m looking to retire within the next 10 years, I want to build a steady stream of reliable cash flow to fund my retirement. Dividends fit the bill. They also receive preferential tax treatment, which is a nice cherry on top of this tasty sundae!

Secondly, the bank I bought pays over $1/share in dividends 4 times each year. For every share I own, I’ll be making $4 per year. An extra $4/year? Big whoop! Remember that it’s an extra $4 per year per share. The more shares I have, the more dividends I earn. And I’m a huge believer in the dividend re-investment plan, which leads to my third point.

Thirdly, my brokerage will allow me to DRIP the quarterly dividends from this stock. I’ll “only” acquire 2-3 new shares every 90 days from this initial purchase, but each of those DRIP-stocks will also earn over $1 per quarter and will also lead to the purchase of even more bank stock. I’ll be benefiting from exponential growth in the number of shares that I’ll own, which means that my passive income will also be growing exponentially the longer I hold this stock.

Fourthly, the dividend payout of these shares is likely to go up. The bank stock I purchased this week has increased its dividend for the past 5 years, so it is considered a Canadian dividend aristocrat in some quarters. (Check out this article from Million about dividend aristocrats if you’re interested in learning more.) Increases in dividend payout are also known as organic dividend growth, a feature of dividends that I like very, very much.

Fifthly, I can keep earning these ever-increasing dividend amounts forever. I’ve created a beautiful money-making cycle that will continue as long as I’m alive. Unless I shuffle off quickly, this stock purchase should soon be paying me $1000 per year, then $2000, and so on and so on and so on. It’s the beauty of the DRIP meeting compound growth.

Finally, if there comes a time when I need to stop my DRIP and live off these dividends, then I can do so. While I’m always thinking of ways to increase my retirement income, I assure you that I don’t plan to live on the entirety of that income unless I have to. For my whole life, I’ve lived below my means. Presently, I don’t see any reason to stop doing so when I retire. The dividend income from my ETFs and my pension should be enough to cover my expenses when my employer and I part ways. If I don’t need the passive income from my bank stock to live, then I see no reason to stop the DRIP.

To recap, dividends generate passive income. Ergo, dividends are my favourite kind of income. This week, I had the opportunity to increase my passive income so I took it. The benefit is that I’ve increased my annual income and I’ve bought myself a little bit of insurance that I’ll have enough money to pay for things when I’m too old to return to the workforce. In the meantime, I’ll sit back and let the magic of compound growth do its thing via my DRIP. It’s all good!

Best Time to Invest in the Stock Market

Most investors are interested in a definitive answer to question of when is the best time to invest in the stock market. And for good reason. After all, no one – and I mean no one – ever wants to lose money. We work very hard for our paycheques. It stands to reason that you would want to buy at the very best time in order to ensure that your investment realizes the maximum return.

For my part, I’ve been investing in the stock market since I was 21. My method isn’t perfect, and I’m sure that there are other ways to do things. However, I’m going to share my 3-question strategy with you and let you decide for yourself if it will work.

Question 1 – Is the stock market heading down or dropping?

If the answer is yes, then I invest.

Here’s my reasoning. When the stock market is dropping, that means stocks are on sale. My exchange-traded funds are comprised of stocks, so my the price of each unit in my ETF is lower too. In other words, I can buy more units in my ETFs when the market is down than I can when the stock market is up.

It’s akin when my favourite coffee is on sale at the grocery store for $4.99 instead of its regular price of $8.49. I stock up when the price is lower because I know the price is going to go back up! I need my coffee and it’s best to buy it a lower price.

The same principle can be applied to investing in the stock market. I need the capital gains and dividends that my investments generate each year. Those returns are consistently re-invested for compound growth. When I retire, my portfolio will continue to generate capital gains and dividends. At that point, I can stop re-investing them and use the money to fund my retirement.

To re-cap, if the stock market is down, I invest and take advantage of the sale on stocks.

Question 2 – Is the stock market going up?

If the answer is yes, then I invest.

Let me explain why. Bear markets are when stock markets are going down. Bull markets are when stock markets are going up. If we’re entering a bull market, that means the value of my ETFs unit will be going up and it also means that the value of my overall portfolio is going up. Companies within my ETFs might decide to increase their dividend and capital gain payments, which means my ETFs will pay me more money each month.

In order for me to benefit from those increased dividend and capital gain payments, I will need to own as many units as I can in my ETFs. One of the only ways to own more is to buy more. The other way to own more is allow my dividend re-investment plan to buy more units each month. However, I think you’ll agree that buying more with my monthly contribution + relying on the DRIP-purchase means that I’ll acquire more units more quickly than by relying on the DRIP-purchase alone.

So when the market is on its way up, I want to invest so that the value of my portfolio also benefits from the increase in the stock market value.

Question 3 – Is the market going to go up or is it going to go down?

This is just a trick question. Whether the answer is “yes” or “no”, I invest.

See, I’m not a professional stock trader. I don’t spend my days staring at the stock market screens or doing in-depth stock analysis. I’m just a Blue Lobster who likes spending time in my flower garden, cooking tasty things, playing with my littlest family members, going to theatre & dinner with friends, traveling at home and abroad, reading good books, and getting enough sleep.

I have no inclination to learn about stock market fluctuations, nor to track them day-to-day. I would rather invest monthly into an equity-based, broadly diversified ETF and let time do the rest. (For the record, I still have my dividend ETFs, but I’ve been investing my monthly contributions into VXC since October of 2020.)

My strategy for finding the best time to invest in the stock market is very, very simple. I invest in the stock market every 4 weeks, which works out to 13 transactions in a year. My next step is not sell what I buy. It’s what’s called the buy-and-hold strategy. I buy – I hold – I re-invest – I repeat. This is how my strategy has resulted in very nice, very passive cash-flow that’s equivalent to an entry-level, full-time job. My dividend ETFs continue to pay me a 4-figure amount every single month, and that amount is continuously increasing. My equity-based ETF pays me a 4-figure amount each quarter. All of my ETFs pay me capital gains at the end of the year.

The way I see it, the best time to invest in the stock market is when I have the money in my bank account to do so. Up, down, or sideways – my portfolio is paying me cold, hard cash on a regular basis. When I automatically re-invest that cash and add it to my monthly purchases, I’m effectively giving myself a licence to print money. Each month, I earn a few more dollars in dividends than I earned the month before. It’s a wonderfully passive way to grow my portfolio, without having to worry about picking the “best time to invest”.

There You Have It

This is my 3-step strategy for picking the best time to invest in the stock market. Your mileage may vary. I’m humble enough to admit that there may be better ways than mine to decide when to invest. What I can tell you from personal experience is that my method works. I’m a self-taught amateur investor who has managed to create a portfolio that will comfortably support Future Blue Lobster. I continue to read and learn. Some tips I like. Some, I don’t. The one constant theme in everything that I learn about investing is that you have to invest your money. It’s the absolutely most important step you simply must make to successfully grow your investments.

When someone asks if this is best time to invest in the stock market, the answer is “Yes!”

Another Little Criticism

Learning about personal finance and investing has been a hobby of mine for the better part of 30 years… wow – that’s a long time! No wonder I make those odd noises when I get up from the couch…

Anyway, one of the first books that set me on my successful path was The Total Money Makeover by Dave Ramsey. I loved this book! I was in undergrad when I read it, and I promised myself that I would follow its tenets once I had graduated and was earning real money.

I’m not sad to say that this is one promise to myself that I’m glad I broke. See, while I still think that the debt snowball is a brilliant strategy for getting out of debt, I’m not so sure about the other steps.

In particular, I take strong issue with the step about only investing 15% of your income after you’ve gotten yourself out of debt.

What’s wrong with 15%?

On the fact of it, saving 15% is a great goal to strive for. My question for other personal financial afficianados is why stop at 15%? If you can comfortably save 20% or 30%, or even 50%, then why not do so?

See, somewhere along the line, I discovered FIRE. It’s an acronym for Financial Independence, Retire Early. Thanks to the vastness that is the Internet, I went deep down the rabbit hole of FIRE. I learned about people who saved 70% of what they earned, who’d lived on $7,000 for an entire year, who’d retired in their 30s! Eventually, I discovered Mr. Money Mustache – a fellow Canadian, whose face-punch imagery caught my attention from the word go.

The FIRE community is varied, like any other community. However, the one thing that they do seem to share is the belief that you need to save more than 15% to become financially independent anytime soon. There’s even this handy-dandy retirement calculator floating out in the world. (Plug in your own numbers – see if you like the answer!)

FIRE and Dave Ramsey seemed to have a lot in common. Both financial perspectives eschewed debt. They both emphasized having an emergency fund and saving for retirement. There are even many in the FIRE community who think Dave Ramsey is great, and happily pay homage to him.

Yet Dave Ramsey… is remarkably quiet on his thoughts about the FIRE movement.

Why is that?

Look. I can’t speak for Dave Ramsey or his organization. Maybe he’s a huge fan of FIRE, but it’s not part of his company’s mission statement. Or maybe he hasn’t heard of FIRE yet. There are a million reasons why he sticks to advising people to only save 15% of their after-tax income.

My theory is that FIRE is an anathema to employers, and Dave Ramsey is a businessperson who needs employees to work for him. As an employer, it makes no sense to encourage the pool of talent from which one draws to become financially independent. Employers have the advantage when employees are dependent on a paycheque. I think that this was most beautifully illustrated in the blog post of other fellow Canadians over at Millennial Revolution.

Allow me to be clear. I’m not for one minute suggesting that Dave Ramsey speaks for all employers. Of course, he doesn’t!

What I am saying is that it would not be in Dave’ Ramsey’s best interest as an employer to encourage the pool of potential employees to strive for financial independence. Think about it. Being FI gives jobs candidates more negotiating power since they don’t need the job to survive. The beauty of the FIRE philosophy is that it gives people choices, including the choice to work for personal satisfaction without consideration of the paycheque. After all, just because one is FI does not meant that one has to RE. If your job brings you joy and you’re also FI, then your are truly and wonderfully blessed. No need to retire early if you don’t want to.

Think about how terrifying that must be for an employer. If money is the primary tool to control the workforce, then what weapon is left when money is not effective? A financially independent pool of employees means the employers have to find another tactic to persuade people to work for them.

In my very humble opinion, 15% isn’t enough.

If you’ve paid off your debts and your budget has breathing room again, I don’t see why you should be implicitly encouraged to spend 85% of your money. Spending at that rate keeps you tethered to your paycheque longer than you may like.

Until recently, I didn’t really consider why Dave Ramsey doesn’t encourage people to pursue financial independence. Yes – some people won’t be able to save more than 15% of their income, even if they’re out of debt. I get that. If you don’t have it, then you can’t save it. However, those aren’t the only people who listen to him.

My question is more about why those who can save more are not being encouraged to do so.

Again, the only theory that makes sense to me is that he doesn’t want to use his platform to encourage financial independence. I find it odd. Firstly, I don’t believe that everyone who calls his show for help loves their job so much that they want to stay for as long as possible. Secondly, one of the very best things that money buys is freedom from doing what you don’t want to do. Thirdly, financial independence doesn’t mean that people become lazy and idle. Instead, it gives them the time to work on what truly makes them happy.

Currently, I believe the following. Pursuing FIRE status will always be an employee-driven social movement. Given its nature, it has to be. After all, as a group, employers cannot maintain their vice-like grasp on power where there is a financial balance in the employment relationship. When employees have the ability to walk away without negative financial consequences, employers run the real risk of losing employees’ labour. A vision remains a vision unless there are minds and bodies that can bring it to life.

The concept of financially independent employees is adverse to the employer’s interests. It’s hardly surprising that employers are not advocating that their employees put some of their focus on saving and investing.

Getting back to Dave Ramsey. His book was written long before the FIRE movement hit the mainstream. I do not believe that he suggested a 15% savings rate in an attempt to maintain the imbalance of power between employers and employees. That’s a pretty broad stroke, and it’s not one I’m intending to make.

What I am willing to say is that the practical effect of his advice to only save & invest 15% works to give employers the upper hand. I’ve had many good jobs in my lifetime, yet none of my employers has encouraged me to save and invest for my future. There’s never been any kind of nudge towards financial independence.

Think long and hard.

The sooner you invest your money, the sooner you can hit the target of being financially independent. There may come a day when you no longer love your job, for whatever reason. When that day comes, you’re going to need to have money in place to pay for those pesky expenses of living like food, shelter, clothing, etc…

I’m not telling you to not follow the Baby Steps. What I am telling you is to think about their practical effect on your personal finances. Take what works… leave the rest.

Finding the Balance

One of the biggest downfalls of the online personal finance community is the lack of balance. I suppose that’s partly due to the fact that we’re all competing for eyeballs on the screen, and extreme headlines garner more attention. It’s unfortunate though. I think more people would be willing to consider pursuing FIRE if they understood that an important element is finding the balance.

God bless him, but Jacob Fisker’s desire to live on $7,000 per year is not one that holds any appeal to me. That level of frugality makes me a little ill. Even the idea of being “face-punched” – popularized by a grand-daddy of FIRE, Mr. Money Mustache – isn’t particularly enticing. Fret not – I do understand the phrase is a metaphor. It’s meant to remind you that stupid decisions with money are just as painful as being hit in the face.

To each their own, right?

Well… maybe. Personally, I think that pursuing financial independence would benefit many people. In a society that abhors unionized labor, pursuing financial independence is the only way for employees to gain some measure of power in the workforce. At the end of the day, business owners need employees. It’s a power-dynamic that is ripe for abuse and exploitation when one party desperately needs money. You – or any employee – can minimize the risk of experiencing such exploitation by pursuing financial independence. When you have the financial resources to walk away from your job, you’re tilting the power dynamic back in your favour. I think that this is a good thing.

At a bare minimum, financial independence gives you choices. In our capitalistic society, financial independence is as much a status symbol as anything else. It’s a signal that someone has enough resources to spend their time how they wish. And isn’t that one of the biggest draws of being rich? Not having to do what someone else tells us to do?

The reality for all of us is this. We each only get one life and finding the balance is key to living a good one. That’s why it’s important to spend some of your money today.

Look, I know that I spend a lot of time telling you to save and invest your money for the long-term. There’s no denying that I think you owe it to Future You to create a sizeable investment portfolio. At the same time, I don’t ascribe to the belief that investing money should be a goal unto itself. Money is pointless if you’re not going to spend it.

Furthermore, no one is promised tomorrow. You have no guarantee that you will be alive in 5-10-25 years to enjoy all the money that you accumulate in the interim. By finding the balance, you’ll be able to spend some of your dollars today on the things that make you smile.

Of course, you should always invest part of your paycheque for the future. I’ll never change my mind about that. What I also want you to do is shave a little bit from each paycheque to spend today. Make no mistake! I don’t want you spending money needlessly. Rather, I’m suggesting that you spend on things that truly make you happy.

Consider taking the advice of Ramit Sethi – ruthlessly cull expenses from your life that don’t bring you joy and spend freely on the ones that do. To me, finding the balance means diligently adhering to my mother’s advice to spend some, save some.

It’s taken me a long time to learn that there has to be a balance. Like I mentioned above, each of us gets one life. We owe it to ourselves to make it as good as we possibly can. It’s important to find ways to enjoy the journey while planning for the future.

The balance is different for each of us. What brings you joy might generate indifference in someone else. No matter. Do what you must to find the balance in your own life.

*** My comments are not meant for those living on low incomes. Obviously, those on low incomes are doing what they can to survive. I don’t have the answer to the plight of the working poor. Telling low income workers to simply “earn more money” isn’t effective. It’s insulting. If they could, they would.

Know Thyself

One of the keys to getting what you want from your money is knowing who you are. The very first step to getting what you want is identifying it. There is no way around it – you must know thyself.

Are you a person who buys something because everyone else buys it? Or are you saving up for something that may only be magical to you? Do you care about others’ opinions on how you spend your money? Are you a person who can live with the consequences of your choices?

Be very honest with yourself about how you want to use your money. Some people want to use it to impress others. Then there are those who use it to control or manipulate the people around them. A good number of people use their money to alleviate suffering in the world. And there are some who want to hoard money in an effort to build security for themselves.

What do you want from your money?

As the years roll by, my perspective on money is changing. I’ve always been a saver, a very good saver. And when I first learned about the FIRE movement, my goal was to one day save 50% of my income – maybe even 70%! However, as I approached this arbitrary yet magical allocation, I started to seriously consider the impact saving that much money would have on my desired lifestyle.

Thanks to several money mistakes, saving 50% wouldn’t allow me to retire in my 40s…which would have been awesome, since I’m long past the ability to retire in my 30s. I suppose if I were willing to commit to very reduced standard of living, I could retire in my 40s… But I know myself. I don’t want to retire and hope that nothing goes so wrong that I have to return to work. I want to be done with working once I retire. Saving 50% wouldn’t get me there. Even saving 70% wouldn’t give me the kind of retirement cash flow that I want.

So I stopped chasing that arbitrary goal and crunched my numbers. Saving a solid chunk of my paycheque would allow me to retire in my early 50s. And I’d have a little extra jingle in my pockets to enjoy the journey. Speaking of the journey, travel has always been one of my favourite things. The “extra money” that wasn’t squirrelled away allowed me to travel overseas. Before the pandemic hit, I was fortunate enough to visit Italy, Spain, and Ireland. Had I been saving 50% of my paycheque, those trips wouldn’t have been possible… and they also wouldn’t have been possible after retirement because my retirement cash flow would not be enough to pay for them.

See… I know myself. And I know that I don’t want to be a penny-pincher during my retirement. I won’t be keeping tigers on a gold leash, nor skipping across the globe to spend equal time in my 4 homes. However, I will have the flexibility to do more international trips, to make renovations to my home, to replace the appliances as needed.

What I also know is that if I had been smarter sooner, I would have made different choices. There’s no sense regretting my choices because I don’t have a time machine to go back and change them.

Knowing myself means that I’ve made peace with the following truth: I don’t use a budget. My money-management system does not involve very many categories. The only ones I have are: retirement, short-term goals, charity, and Everything Else. I’m a huge fan of using automation to ensure that my first three categories are funded. My paycheque hits my account – my automatic transfers are triggered – I spend whatever’s leftover in my chequing account. The leftover money has to last me until the next payday. I can spend it however I want, on whatever I want, secure in the knowledge that the priorities most important to me are being funded.

Your choices need not please everyone else.

Thankfully, I’ve reached the stage in life where I don’t require a popular vote to feel good about my financial decisions. When I was younger, it bothered me that my friends’ financial priorities didn’t align with mine. I intensely disliked being told that I was “saving too much money.” When others blithely told me “you can afford it”, I would bite my tongue so very hard in order to not lash out in anger. How dare someone else tell me how to spend my money?

I’ve since learned to let those comments roll off my back. Their priorities are not mine. And their hearts were probably in the right place. They honestly believed that their spending habits, which obviously made them happy, would make me happy too. And I’m sure I drove them nuts talking about retirement and investing and saving. Those were the things that made me happy. Over time, I learned to only talk about money with friends who are also interested in investing and retirement planning. Again, knowing myself has led me to find like-minded people who encourage and support me when it comes to pursuing my financial goals.

Know thyself. What is it that you want your money to do for you? Once you’ve answered that question, the next question is whether your money is actually being put towards achieving those goals. Finally, what changes do you need to make to align your spending with your financial goals?

Choices have consequences

This week, I had a conversation with a dear friend of mine about spending money. She made the observation that if she spends money today, then there’s that much money less to pay for her retirement. I couldn’t argue with her. In fact, I was happy that someone else in my circle of loved ones was thinking about their senior years. Sometimes, I feel like an outcast when I talk about money. It’s one of the reasons I like to chat about it online. It does me good to know that people in my real world are considering how to accumulate the gold for their golden years.

We live in a capitalist culture where we’re exhorted to spend every penny that we earn. Should our earnings not be enough, we’re strongly encourage to borrow money to spend beyond our means. Look around! Outside of the personal finance corner of the internet, there’s almost no discussion about saving money for emergencies, building up a retirement fund, and creating cashflow to replace your income. Instead the overwhelming message is to work hard, spend money, wake up, repeat.

I think this is a terrible way for people to live.

We were not given life just to work and spend money. Our lives should be about time spent with those we love best. We should be striving to spend as much time as possible engaged in the activities that bring us joy. I’m not convinced that we need to live on a never-ending work-spend-sleep treadmill to be happy. The beauty of financial freedom is that it’s a situation where work becomes optional. Being FI means spending your time as you see fit.

One of the universal truths is that choices have consequences.

I want you to think about what you want from your life. Now, ask yourself if your spending choices are getting you closer to or further from that life. If your choices aren’t getting you closer to the life you want to live, then explain to yourself why that is.

Vicki Robin and Joe Dominguez of Your Money Or Your Life have taught us that money is the manifestation of your life’s energy. In short, you trade your life energy for money. It seems only logical that you spend your energy in ways that create the life that you want to live.

From what I’ve observed, people base their spending decisions on short-term thinking. They’re concerned with today, and possibly next week. They don’t really start to consider the long-term until they hit their late 40s, 50s, and sometimes 60s.

I get it. When I was a teenager, I brought home roughly $108 every two weeks from my part-time cashier job. My money went to dinners at Red Robins with my friends, followed by a movie. It was a simple life, and I never thought beyond my next paycheque. Long-time readers know that I had an automatic transfer in place so that $50 was squirrelled away to my savings account. If I could go back in time, I’d tell Young Blue Lobster to just put that money into a broad-based equity index fund (or exchange-traded fund), and then never look at it. The past 30 years have flown by! Had I started investing at 16 instead of 21, I’d probably be retired by now. I would certainly be financially independent.

However, that didn’t happen and I have to live with the consequences of my teen-aged choices. I’ve spend the last few decades teaching myself about investing. When necessary, I’ve tweaked my investment strategy. I’m forcing myself to ask harder questions, to analyze information more critically. I’ve finessed my money-management strategy to the point where it’s on auto-pilot and needs very little attention from me on payday. My choices from yesterday have resulted in both good and bad consequences for me. Had I made different choices, I would be living with different consequences.

Take some time to assess your money choices. Are the consequences of yesterday’s choices bringing you joy or misery? Maybe neither? Are you committed to making more informed choices in the future? What will you do today to get the consequences you want tomorrow?

The choice is yours.

Sequence of Return Risk

There’s a lot of jargon in the world of personal finance. The more terms you know, the more comfortable you’ll be when it comes to making decisions about your money. Today’s post is meant to be a short and sweet tutorial about the basics of Sequence of Return Risk.

A bear market is one where overall stock market returns are falling.

A bull market is one where overall stock market returns are rising.

This distinction is very important.

Retiring into a Bear Market

Let’s say you retire with $1,000,000. You plan to live on $40,000. So long as your portfolio is kicking off atleast 4%, then you’re golden for as long as you live. Hooray!

You retire. You smash your alarm clock. You wake up when you want with a smile on your face. The only fly in this ointment is that you’ve retired at the start of a bear market. The value of your portfolio drops 15%, which means your portfolio is now worth $850,000 (= $1,000,000 x [1-0.15]).

Your portfolio is still kicking off a return of 4%, but you’re not getting $40,000 per year anymore. With a portfolio of $850,000, you’re only getting $34,000 (=$850,000 x 4%). Where will the other $6,000 come from? Remember, you need $40,000 to fund each year of your retirement.

You’ll have to withdraw the extra $6K from your portfolio balance of $850,000, leaving you with $844,000 (= $850,000 – $6,000). That’s still a decent chunk of change, but eating into the principal had not been part of your retirement plan…

Year 2 of retirement isn’t exactly great either. The bear market is easing, but it’s still a factor. The value of your portfolio drops another 10%. (Yes, it’s possible for the stock market to drop two years in a row.) That $844,000 that you had is now down to $759,600 (= $844,00 x [1-0.10]). Yikes! That’s $240,400 less than what you started with when you first retired.

Yet you still need $40,000 per year to live on, and your portfolio is still kicking off 4%. Sadly, 4% of $759,600 is $30,384… which is $9,616 (= $40,000 – $30,384) short of your needed $40K. So where will that $9,616 come from? You’ll have to take it from your $759,600….dropping your portfolio balance back down to $749,984 (=$759,000 – $9,616). Not good!

Year 3 of retirement welcomes the return of a bull market, and the stock market goes up 7%. Hooray! Your $749,984 is now worth $802,483 (=$749,984 x 1.07). That’s still not enough to kick off $40,000. In fact, your portfolio will only earn you $32,099 (=$802,483 x 4%), which means taking a further $7,901 (= $40,000 – $32,099) from your portfolio.

Do you see the problem?

When you retire into a bear market, your retirement portfolio might not be sufficiently large to cover your anticipated expenses. You may be forced to withdraw money to cover your living expenses when the value of your portfolio has dropped!!! This is a very bad thing because it means that your money won’t be invested when the stock market invariably starts increasing again.

Retiring into a Bull Market

However, if you retire into a bull market, then things are considerably better. Starting with the same assumptions of a $1,000,000 portfolio, a 4% return, and annual expenses of $40K in retirement, check out what happens if the stock market goes up 7% in the first year.

Your portfolio is up to $1,070,000 (=$1,000,000 x 1.07). At 4%, that means your portfolio is kicking off $42,800 (=$1,070,000 x 4%). Yet, you don’t need more than $40,000, so you leave the $2800 invested. Now your porfolio is worth $1,072,800 (=$1,070,000 + $2,800).

In year 2, the market goes up another 15%. Your portfolio goes up to $1,233,720 (=$1,070,800 x 1.15). At 4% return, you’re receiving $49,349 (=$1,233,720 x 4%). Again, you take out the $40K that you need and you let the $9,349 continue to stay invested. Now, your portfolio is worth $1,243,069 (=$1,233,720 + $9,349).

Year 3 is another positive year, though not as positive as year 2. The stock market only produces an average return of 5%, generating $62,153 (= $1,243,069 x 1.05) for you. You don’t change your spending, $40K goes into your spending account and the remaining $22,153 stays invested. Now your portfolio is worth $1,265,222 (= $1,243,069 + $22,153).

See the difference? Retiring into a bull market means your portfolio will continue to grow, so long as you don’t spend every penny of your returns.

Protecting yourself from the sequence of return risk

Like I said at the start, this is just a short tutorial on the sequence of return risk. Other persons far wiser than I have spent way more time coming up with great strategies. One of the books that I would strongly suggest you read for a more in-depth analysis on this topic is Quit Like A Millionaire by Kristi Shen & Bryce Leung. Their book offers a brilliant strategy for avoiding the sequence of return risk – it’s called the Yield Shield and it’s awesome. Another great source of information about how to avoid sequence of return risk is this article from The Retirement Manifesto.

And if you really want to sink your teeth into this topic, check out Big Ern’s Safe Withdrawal Rate series at Early Retirement Now.

If you’re not able to avail yourself of the Yield Shield, then another way to make up for the shortfall between when you need and what your smaller portfolio can provide is to get a job. I’m not suggesting a return to full-time work, but maybe you’ll have to find a part-time job that generates $10,000 per year. A part-time income of $10,000 per year would definitely cover the shortfall in year 1, which means leaving your money invested so that it can grow when the stock market returns start becoming positive again.

And if you’re deadset against part-time work, then there’s always the option of cutting your expenses to live on whatever your portfolio generates. This isn’t the preferred option for a few reasons. First, it’s never fun to cut out the little extras that make life a bit more pleasant. Secondly, there’s only so much you can cut. Thirdly, there’s no room for surprise expenses like a new furnace in the dead of winter. While it’s not ideal, working a few hours a week might be a better financial alternative for you than cutting out expenses that make the non-working hours more comfortable.

So that’s my primer on the sequence of return risk. Retiring into a bear market is fraught with peril, but there are ways to minimize its negative impact on the sustainability your long-term retirement money. It’s best to retire into a bull market. Should you not be one of the people with an accurate crystal ball able to tell you what the future will bring, then I suggest that you read and learn more about how to ensure that your retirement portfolio lasts for as long as you do.

Keep Your Money!

I want you to keep your money. Yes – that’s right. You should put yourself in a position to keep your money.

Obviously, you can’t keep all of it. When you get paid, you have to give away some of your money. It has to go towards shelter, food, utilities, a basic wardrobe, and transportation. These are the necessities. Everything else is a nice-to-have. Beyond necessities, purchases are Wants. If they’re expensive enough, they might even be called luxuries.

Before you spend your money on the Wants & Luxuries, put some money aside to fuel your money-making machine. Ideally, you would pay yourself first, then pay for the necessities, and then pay for the Wants & Luxuries last. Many people don’t do this, and their reluctance to do so befuddles me. Truly, I’m befuddled by this behaviour. When you work so hard at a job that possibly might not fill your heart with joy and gladness, you should save a little bit of that money for yourself so that you can fund your dreams.

The first step to keeping your money is to plan your spending. If you don’t know how much you spend on shelter, food, utilities, transportation, and a basic wardrobe, then keep track of how much you spend. You can do this old school, with pen and paper, or you can use one of the fancy apps available for your phone. Either way, you need to know how much you spend living your current life.

Though I wish this did not need to be said, I’m going to say it anyway. If your monthly spending exceeds your monthly income, then you’re in a bad situation. You are living in debt, and this is a bad situation. It can lead to bankruptcy, homelessness, and other very unpleasant outcomes. If your monthly spending is less than your monthly income, fantastic! This situation is called living below your means. You have money to re-direct towards your money-making machine.

Once you’ve tracked your expenses, then you can plan how your next paycheque is to be allotted. I want you to think about the spending you did on your Wants & Luxuries. How happy were you with those purchases? Did the happiness last a long time or was it fleeting? If you hadn’t made the purchase, how would it have impacted your life? Any chance that you’d consider culling your future Wants & Luxuries purchases to only the ones that bring you joy and fond memories when you think about them?

I would never suggest that you limit your spending to necessities and savings. That’s no way to live. Everyone needs a little bit of frivolity once in awhile. What I am going to suggest is that you carefully evaluate why you made the expenditures that you did. Necessities? Obviously, you spend in this category so that you don’t starve to death a naked homeless person. I want you to focus on the Wants & Luxuries categories. If the purchase didn’t bring you joy, then why did you make it? Was it an impulse purchase? Did that impulse arise from a feeling of guilt? A need to self-soothe? A desire to be liked and included? Once you know why you spend, then you’ll know what triggers to avoid in order to keep your money in your pocket so that you can fund your most important dreams and priorities.

Keep the W&L expenditures that bring you true and lasting joy. Discard all the others. Use those savings to fund your money-making machine. My machine is an army of little money soldiers. Every month, I’m paid dividends from my investment portfolio. I’ve set up a Dividend Re-Investment Plan so that my dividends are automatically reinvested in my divided-paying exchange traded fund. This means that I’ll receive even more dividends the following month. It’s a sweet system!

Your money-making machine need not be the same as mine. You might want to get into rental properties. (And if the talking heads are to be believed, interest rates in Canada are going to go up. This may lead to a slew of foreclosures as people cannot service their mortgages at a higher renewal rate. Should that happen, property values will fall. If you have the money, and the desire to own a home, you may be able to buy a duplex or a triplex or multi-family property and start house-hacking.) There are some fantastic websites out there that can teach you how to do this. It’s not my preference but you should explore all of your options and decide for yourself.

Another money-maker is starting your own business. The entrepreneurs that I know are doing quite well for themselves. They work extremely hard, and are reaping the rewards of their efforts.

Don’t worry if you don’t know what your money-making machine is going to be. You can figure that out while you’re diligently finding ways to keep your money. Trust me! You don’t want to discover some fantastic opportunity and not have the money in place to take advantage of it.

You get one life! Keeping a part of your income from every paycheque is the most reliable way to have the money in place to fund your most important dreams and goals. It makes no sense to spend your life working hard for your money only to then disburse your life’s energy on things that don’t bring you lasting joy. It would be an absolute shame if you wind up regretting the choices that you made because they didn’t get you closer to fulfilling your dreams. Keep your money and build the life that you truly want!